The price of tomorrow's pigs
01 tomorrow's pig price
02 updated projections
I. General description of the situation
According to the treasure data, on 30 june the average price of a pig born in the country was $10. 30/kg, an increase of $0. 40/kg over the previous day. The monthly ring ratio increased by 6. 7 per cent, still 31. 2 per cent below the same level. On that day, the average price of each province went up, with 17 provinces at a 10-kilogram level. Fujian has the highest position of 12. 92 yuan/kg and xinjiang has the lowest level of 8. 72 yuan/kg. The increase in fujian day amounted to 0. 90 yuan per kg, leading to a nationwide increase. At the end of the month, farm-gate contractions came out of the field and there was a high level of interest in the market。
Ii. Supply and demand situation
From the supply side, there were limited group fielding plans at the beginning of the month, a strong willingness on the part of the diaspora to offer a good price, and a tight market-based phase. Large-weight pigs have a tight supply, with cheap purchases becoming more difficult and passively priced. There is still some heat in secondary fertility in parts of the north, which leads to the absorption of the pig。
On the demand side, the end consumption performance was flat, the white strip was moving at average speed, the slaughtering rate was flat, and the price increase was driven mainly by supply-side contraction rather than by consumption-exumption pull。
Iii. Regional characteristics
In terms of regional price trends, the north-east is moving up the line, with the average price of the heilong river running the region at 10. 80 yuan/kg, with high secondary heat in some markets. North china prices moved up as a whole, and the shanxi average price was $9. 90/kg. China and east china are in full swing, and fujian runs the country with an average price of $12. 92 per kg and a single-day increase of $0. 90 per kg. The average prices in guangdong and guangxi, south of china, are $10. The increase in the north-west has been relatively moderate, with xinjiang as a low-price country average of $8. 72 per kg. In the south-west, the four regions rose collectively in the range of 9. 0-9. 7 yuan/kg, with demand and supply combining to achieve low-level rebound。
Post-market projections
It is expected that in recent days the price of pigs or the continuation of stable medium-size bias has been on the rise. The tight supply pattern was difficult to change in the short term at the beginning of the month, and some of the regions continued to provide support for the porpoise. However, the demand end does not have current discharge signals, the cost of fast-up post-consumer relays may be weak, and the upper space will be suppressed if the subsequent farm end is centralized. It is recommended that over-standard pigs should be targeted at profits at higher bars, and that the pig can observe changes in turnover and should not follow up and fall。
