From limited-purchase upgrades to limited-pricing, restricted-sale policies, to the construction of rentals and sales ... 2017 is a regulatory year for the city。
Speaking of the annual memory of nanjing city, you're thinking of the public notarial rolls in the context of the 10 rolls in the west of the river, the purchase of more than 3,000 apartments by thousands of people, and the reverse price of a second-hand house in a number of hot blocks。
Looking back at 2017, projections 2018! The new wave invited eight senior experts from nanjing city to look deep into the current market and forecast the developments next year. Of the eight experts, two projected an increase in house prices for the next year, with the same two forecast a decline in house prices for the next year, and the remaining four forecast a steady trend in house prices in 2018 compared to 2017。
Zhang fai, secretary-general, nanjing real estate development and construction promotion association
Summary 2017
2017 is the year of regulation for the city. Many regulatory policies continue to deepen. In addition, the government has introduced new regulatory policies such as sales restrictions. The purchase and price limits are very strict. In the overall regulatory context, there has been a decline in the volume of the housing stock as compared to last year. Because last year it was the bull market, and the trade was at an all-time high. This year's drop in turnover is also normal. House prices, which are on a price-limit basis, have been stagnant. A lot of low-priced buildings were taken over this year. This year's price limit is low. It is recommended that you seize the window period that regulates the purchase of houses。
With regard to nanjing city, i am most impressed by the division of sales between the various regional buildings. This is manifested in two hot, cold situations. In the south-west of the river, along the coast of the drums and in the heart of the gangbei region, the middle and high-priced buildings are hot. In addition, low prices are gaining ground. Low-cost housing sources are increasingly scarce. There has been some fragmentation in the market for the source of 20-30 million houses. The improvement community does not regard such blocks as such, which the buyer cannot afford. The fragmentation of the plate will become increasingly evident。
Zhang fai, secretary-general, nanjing real estate development and construction promotion association
Projected 2018
I think there will be a certain increase in nanjing's house prices in 2018, especially in the main city. This is mainly due to structural causes. Next year, the entry of high-value housing sources will raise the average market price. The above belongs to the main city。
I think there will be multiple challenges in nanjing city in 2018。
Is there a degree of relaxation in price limits? This is a great challenge for former high-priced developers. If price limits were strictly enforced, some high-priced land profits would be reduced or even small losses。
Market challenges. Even if some of the plates are not priced, will the market pay? It is also an important issue. From this perspective, it is also an important challenge for housing enterprises. Clients adjust. In the past, cattle markets consumed large numbers of potential home buyers. In the future, can the buyers not add energy
The challenges posed by restricted purchases cannot be ignored. Strictly enforced procurement in 2018 would have a significant impact on the market. Restriction of lending can also pose market challenges. Is the bank interest rate relatively high and will it remain unchanged or loose next year? Credit is the source of municipal funds. The market is active and credit plays a critical role。
What was the attitude of the buyer? Keep watching or watching? This affects the market climate. Moreover, macroeconomic challenges cannot be ignored. For example, interest rate hikes in the united states, tax changes, etc. Could result in financial outflows from china. Next year, there will be a domestic rate hike or a passive rate hike, which will have a negative impact on the market。
Monxiang, director, centre for urban and real estate research, nanjing forestry university
Summary 2017
In 2017, nanjing city was summed up by the word “scaltered”. I was most impressed by the very severe restrictions imposed by the government on house prices, which led to the reversal of some used house prices. There are also a number of new houses with low median sign-off rates and hard to reach。
Monxiang, director, centre for urban and real estate research, nanjing forestry university
Projected 2018
In 2018, the supply of land was amplified, but decreased. At the housing enterprise level, the concentration of housing enterprises will be further increased. Small and medium-sized housing enterprises accelerate the development of the real estate market. In terms of population, there is no need to worry about future population in nanjing. This also means that demand for housing is not too much of a problem. In the first half of 2018, the supply of housing was tight. Because a lot of plots are for sale. The supply of housing will increase in the second half of next year. At the policy level, buy-and-selling in 2018 will be a long-lasting mechanism。
I think nanjing's house prices should be more stable in 2018, and it is harder to go down. Markets are divided. Quality schools, high-quality commercial products, and some high-quality housing sources in urban areas all offer additional space. As the population grows, incomes rise. I personally think there is still a future in nanjing city. Short-term optimism and long-term pessimism。
U shanghua, director, tianxiang institute of real property, nanjing industrial university
Summary 2017
2017 is almost over. The city of nanjing uses the term "smuggling." i am most impressed by the fact that, in a price-fixing context, thousands of people are buying from the southwest of the river。
U shanghua, director, tianxiang institute of real property, nanjing industrial university
Projected 2018
In 2018, nanjing city will be in a difficult regulatory position. But the city will eventually go all the way. It is hoped that industry practitioners will be committed and contribute to the healthy development of the real estate market. In terms of house prices, i think there's a small drop in the whole plate. Both the turnover, the subscription and the market temperature are reduced. This is a temporary phenomenon in nanjing city. It would also be beneficial for the city to adjust further。
Chief editor of the nanjing city wisdom platform
Summary 2017
In 2017, nanjing city suffered. First is the pain of the house buyers. The number of openings in 2017 was low and many people could not afford to buy a house. Moreover, the house price did not rise. Part of the sheet, part of the supply price, also fell. There's only one person who laughs and buys a limited room. The developers also suffer. Due to the downward trend in land prices, there was no regional maximum. The developers who had previously taken the high-priced land had suffered and had even sold their houses at a loss. Moreover, most developers this year did not complete their sales tasks. The main reason is that many of the buildings have been priced by the government and have not earned any excess profits。
The most impressive thing is that buying a house is like buying a lottery ticket. A lot of house buyers are upset. I only wish them luck。
Chief editor of the nanjing city wisdom platform
Projected 2018
In 2018, i forecast a steady decline in the city of nanjing and the national building. Nanjing city is the most expensive city in china. In 2018, there was a decline in second-hand rooms. Some of the new houses on board also show a decline. By the end of 2017, there had been a corresponding drop. In 2018, funding will be more tight across the country. Small developers may not have the strength to take land. Next year will be a big enterprise. For rich buyers, there will be a chance of leakage in 2018. For ordinary home buyers, low-cost land sources have been sold out and new markets have been opened with high-priced land. Interest rates on mortgages have also continued to rise, and the cost of home purchases will increase。
First chief editor, jiangsu business department, china real estate finance
Summary 2017
Nanjing's house prices did not rise this year. The main reason is still price limitations. In the context of price limits, regional divisions are still evident. For example, housing prices in the west of the river are still driving up because of the landowners ' effects and good fortunes, but in other regions the market has shown a cooling trend. The cooling is reflected in the reduced purchasing power of the market and the fact that the cost of real house purchases has not decreased. For example, the increase in interest rates on mortgages, the increase in difficulties in buying housing and the increase in the threshold for buying housing。
The apartment market has also become rational after a brief outbreak in the middle of the year. The second-hand room was hot in the first half of the year, but the heat dropped significantly in the second half. In 2017, the city of nanjing was in a state of pre-eminence, with lower heat and no reduction in the cost of buying. In addition, the land market has seen a chilling trend. Nor has the cost of land acquisition decreased for developing enterprises。
First chief editor, jiangsu business department, china real estate finance
Projected 2018
In 2018, in nanjing, i chose “stable”. I think nanjing's house prices are stable. There is no possibility of elimination in the short term. At the very least, there is no possibility of relaxation in the first three quarters of 2018. In the fourth quarter of 2018, if the market is less optimistic, the price limit does not preclude a relaxation. Now, there are many kings in nanking. The price limit is not 10 per cent or 15 per cent to solve the problem. Next year the market will be low, and powerful developers may continue to wait. Small and medium-sized housing companies may have adopted a strategy of making money run. Even so, it would not be lower than at the end of 2017. At the end of 2017, although there was a decrease in the turnover of some of the buildings, there was no one to look after them. I assume that there is still no room for price reductions in 2018。
The host of nanjing people's radio, "home a house" yin deva
Summary 2017
This year, nanjing introduced a sales ban. For nanjing city, this has had an impact on real estate market regulation for any year. The inability to trade for three years after the completion of the property certificate means that the real estate liquidity was terminated in 2017。
I'm most impressed by the fact that the river west is set up in 10 plates. I was joking on the show earlier, and the southwest of the river was always closed. It would be fun if the building southwest of the river opened on the same day. Unfortunately, i was right. The incident exposed the market to a large proportion of nanjing's home buyers. According to the data, there were more than 14,000 units, and more than 3,000 units were concluded. This also means that less than 30 per cent of home buyers are digested. A large part of the rest of the population is still “walking” in the market. This big event is not over. They are also looking for suitable housing in future markets。
The host of nanjing people's radio, "home a house" yin deva
Projected 2018
In 2018, the city of nanjing was moving. This is mainly due to the control of the market's mobility. The sharp rise in housing prices seems unlikely in the absence of financial resources. I don't think so. Because urban development and housing needs are still high, the incentives for investment are strong. It is also because the government, in its management of the housing market, has adopted a sophisticated approach, i. E. The market itself does not have a basis for decline. It'll be smooth if the market doesn't rise or fall。
Chief editor of the first china real estate financial investment channel, kangsu station
Summary 2017
In 2017, the current state of nanjing city was described as “supply is not needed”. The nanjing market is also divided. All right. Room buyers continue to line up and rob. In some cases, there was de-sale. In 2017, the most impressive thing i've ever heard was that the river west must be on the same side。
Chief editor of the first china real estate financial investment channel, kangsu station
Projected 2018
In 2018, the city of nanjing is estimated to have become more compact overall. The government will still be strictly regulated. Credit policies will be tightened. Interest rates for first and second suites will float. There may be a reduction in the cost of the building. In terms of house prices, i think it's smoother. Because the government is also regulating and limiting prices. The possibility of falling is not too great. Because the landlord had a high cost before, it was unlikely that he would lose his house。
Nanjing people's radio, journalist chen takeshi
Summary 2017
The state of nanjing city, i think it's the last party. In particular, following the opening of the south-west of the river, a large number of houses have been added to the market, attracting a large number of home buyers. A lot of home buyers will think they won't catch the last bus this year, and next year they'll be waiting for high prices. With regard to nanjing city, the most impressive was undoubtedly november, when the south-west of the river finally opened. Everybody line up overnight. The circle of friends has also been painted in the open. Thus, expectations for the south-west of the river are high。
Nanjing people's radio, journalist chen takeshi
Projected 2018
Nanjing city in 2018, i chose smooth. The reason for this is that after the sale of a large number of millions of dollars on the market, what follows is the sale of current houses and the entry of high prices. The buyer's purchasing power was released. Improved clients are still watching. The city of nanjing next year should move towards a stable state。
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