A lot of people stare at their house and think it's still there, but it's worth falling down like a silent sound, a feeling that no real estate agent will tell you, but it's in the books, with over a million houses, three months and three days, and it's a completely different world, and it's really worth telling today
Now the market's core is not up and down, but whether or not it's going to work. This year, the country lost nearly nine percentage points in sales for new commodity houses, more than 10 per cent in sales, 17 percentage points in development investments, less deals, less construction, more and more to sell, more prudent people, more and more money
One detail that has been ignored by many people is the fact that the country's stock of commercial houses, which is about 7:53 billion square metres, appears to have grown only slightly, with the opening of a line of one, two and three, and the opening of the gap, with the evaporation cycle in large cities ranging from 18 to twenty-two months, with the three and four lines generally exceeding thirty months, with some county towns having been in place for over 40 months, and the gap is more pronounced than housing prices. Eye
The policy has not been idle, owing to urban planning, stock-taking, secure housing acquisitions, more than 600 local support measures, in a clear direction, to stabilize the market and not to allow the system to take risks, which have led to the renewal of the trade in the core cities, with some second-hand rooms being closed for seven days, but in the weak areas, as in the past, there is no one on board for six months. Question
The key is where people go, where there has been a steady net inflow of less than one third of the total in recent years, where the concentration of industry, employment stability, income expectations, new areas are scarce, new high-quality housing projects are rapidly defunct, second-hand transactions are well recovered, shenzhen ranks first in 10 years, more than 80%, shanghai, chengdu, beijing, hangzhou, where houses are not abandoned by the market, if not rising
In turn, some resource-depleted cities, three or four-line municipalities, parts of the north-east, with hundreds of thousands of net annual outflows of people, stockings on the evaporation cycle, the preservation rate in wenzhou, cranes and galleries has fallen by 60 per cent, and a million houses are now worth over $7 million or even lower, and some have not looked at their occupants for six months
The sharper contrast is at the speed of the deal, with the high-quality second-hand room in the shanghai core in beijing on average shrinking to about 20 days, with chengdu, hangzhou and nanjing hotspots able to board in half in one month, while some cities on the 3-4 line have a stock of the same size and total price for 90 days
This year, many agencies forecast that the size of new commodity houses may fall by about six percentage points and that sales will go down, but the structure is becoming clearer, with risks being seen, opportunities waiting, improved demand in the core cities reaching more than 45 per cent, families in large cities willing to move to better housing, and households in the weak areas wanting to leave. V steady
Now it's time to judge whether a flat is worth less than a unit price, depending on whether it's a stable one, with five years of small fluctuations, two to four percentage points per year, and a million-year-old house falling five years later between one hundred and one hundred and two million. Do it
There's a widespread cross-section of ordinary cities, and five years later, a million houses on the outskirts of some provincial capitals, on the weak second line, are in the range of 977 to 1. 5 million
The hardest part is that a million houses may fall to 710,000 to 850,000 in five years, which is not an act of intimidation, but a combination of stocks, population and industry, and in some places houses are not cheap, but empty, burdened, and planning is pushed out of the way, and it's harder and harder to get here with fewer people
So the logic of buying a house has changed, no one can judge by past experience, and the data have made it clear that the value of a house is not just paper prices, but whether it can be sold, how long it can be sold. In some core cities, mobility is a value in itself, in some vulnerable areas, time is a cost
In this division, ordinary families try not to grab the wind, but to avoid the pits, to run the scenes before buying a house, to ask the local speed of the deal, the rent return, the movement of people, not to be led by a few hot words
Over the next five years, houses in different cities will come out of completely different paths, on the one hand through net population inflow, industrial concentration and controlled areas, and on the other hand through emigration and high stock levels that continue to be revalued. Select
