A senior news reporter
On the eve of the national holiday, travel will become the “lead force” for air consumption。
Civil aviation has continued to show a trend of “up and down” this year's national holiday season. According to recent reports published by the civil aviation traveling service platform “awaying through the air”, the number of civil aviation passengers is expected to exceed 1. 65 million during the 2024 national holiday period (1 october-7 october), with an average daily passenger transport of 2. 23 million, an increase of 7 per cent over the 2023 national holiday and 19 per cent over the same period in 2019。
With regard to fares, according to recent data published by multiple parties based on data from the third-party travel platform, the price of tickets for this year's national day dropped by between one and twenty per cent on a year-on-year basis. According to journalists, this year, including the first half of the year's midday holidays, the fifty-first holiday and the summer season of august, civil aviation has largely shown a pattern of “higher and lower prices”, either because of or because of increased competition and the resumption of markets. It has also been suggested by industry sources that the peak of travel in 2023, as well as high air fares in the civil aviation market, has returned to normal this year, leading to a slight decline in the same year。
It is worth noting that, in recent days, the topic of “royal ticket prices re-emerging dives” has been the subject of hot searches. On the social platform, journalists found that internet users had been dichotomydled against the national holiday fare, with some coming close to falling. There are plans to wait for the price to rise, and others to wait and see if the buddha is going. Is it true that this year's fare jumped? Is it normal? What do consumers do
In-industry: air tickets are generally stable this year, and fare jumps are lower than last year
On social platforms, some of the netizens have experienced a sharp drop of hundreds of dollars in airline fares in advance of their trip to neighbouring countries. Among them, netizens pointed out that, four days before take-off, the fares of other divisions on the same route were becoming cheaper, some at $500 per trip. Some netizens have also indicated that the price of tickets for the national holiday period, from xianyang to fort urumqi, has not been reduced and has become more expensive at first, with the result that the airline ticket has now jumped and dropped by more than a hundred, with a price difference of more than $500. It was also pointed out by netizens that international air tickets to bangkok in guangzhou on the national holiday were one and a half months away at a price of $400。
The price of “diving” on short-distance international flights is not uncommon, especially when it is not a hot trip on 1 or 2 october. Consumers told journalists that they were watching the flight to tokyo in shanghai on 2 or 3 october and found that during the week prior to the national holiday, the minimum price for several direct flights had dropped to below $1,000, but then rose to $1300 to $1700 two days later, in addition to a third-place low transit fare of $800 a one-way ticket, which took longer. However, the consumer also indicated that the price of the national day return flight remained strong and that the return flight price on 6 or 7 days was not reduced as compared to a month earlier。
There are a lot of internet users who jump to wait for a plane ticket, but they come all the way up, saying they “failed”. According to netizens, “from mid-august until the trip, there was no diving, and it rose, and in mid-august it was remembered that 3,000 shenzhens could come and go back to kashi and now fly straight to nearly $9,000.”
At the same time, there are still internet users who are betting that this year's airline tickets are jumping and are still watching, and those who are saying, “the more expensive they are, the more expensive they are, the more they are, the more they are, the more they are, the more they are, the more they are, the more they are, the more they are.” some of them missed a trip to leave on their way out at the festival of expectation, “in the name of a buddhist school where the ticket for the trip jumped, the return ticket was not fixed, the hotel was not fixed, the plan was not done”
What is the price this year
On 29 september, journalists learned from various third-party travel platforms that the prices for the national holiday were generally stable, with price jumps occurring on a smaller part of the route, but more so as to be more expensive. There have also been a number of feedback from industry sources that the price of tickets has been significantly reduced this year. However, it has also been noted that the average payment rate for national airline tickets, monitored in recent days, has declined slightly。
According to ota sources, this year's national holiday ticket is generally an early 70-80% flight, which is sold well to the full price, and is reduced to 40-50% if it is not sold well. Last year, it was “pricing first”, with the full price sold ahead, followed by a sudden increase of less than 40% and a large jump. It was pointed out that last year the price of airline tickets was concentrated mainly in the mid- and half-day sections, which were relatively stable before the festival。
“there is still a strong willingness to travel on this national holiday, and today the market as a whole is back to normal and the overall number of passengers is expected to increase by more than two digits.” the management of cpad told journalists that the overall price of tickets had remained stable and that the occupancy rate had increased considerably. However, individual destination fares do jump, and overall fare levels are lower than last year's peak。
According to ota sources, the prices for this year's national holiday are generally stable and are now set at even higher prices than in mid-autumn, with some routes having reached full prices, such as beijing-dari and beijing-ossa on october 1。
According to shaw peng, researcher at the grand data institute, “the price strategy for this year's 11th vacation was more robust than last year, with the advance of the discounts, the higher rate of occupancy during the sale of train tickets, the increasing number of airline ticket reservations for almost 10 days, and the adjustment of prices to market demand, which did not result in large-scale jumps. The price trend before the fourth of july has returned to normal.”
What about the fare? Is it normal to jump near the departure price
Journalists are aware by many in the civil aviation industry that the air ticket pricing power is in the hands of the division, that it is a market-based pricing mechanism, and that fare prices change in real time mainly on the basis of a combination of indicators such as seating rates and total earnings. As a rule, the national holiday is part of the active season, marked by a two-fold boom and a steady middle. Air ticket prices will also increase, with high front-end fares and more favourable intermediate fares。
In the meantime, airlines adjust fares from time to time in response to market demand and supply. A number of companies had previously forecast higher demand and therefore higher prices; however, the market heat and actual demand were not as high as expected, and the division would consider selling the remaining vacant seats of the flights, and the fares would be reduced accordingly. The individual low-price tickets that sometimes appear during the leave period are short-term promotions by the division, which are usually assigned to individual routes, mainly to attract customers, as well as individual routes, and do not cover too much。
The jump in tickets for the national holiday last mid-autumn has raised market concerns, and overall fares have risen in comparison with each other, but there has been a sharp drop before departure. The executives of the division told journalists that during the holiday period, air tickets were less frequently bought before travelling and were normally purchased within 14 days。
"last year was a massive jump, this year a small jump." on 29 september, civil aviation expert lin jijie stated to journalists that it was not normal to jump in on holiday season tickets and that the more expensive the trip would be. The cost of the trip was mainly due to the fact that the airline did not agree with the market, the fare was higher and the ticket could not be sold, and the price had to be reduced. It has also been pointed out by industry that jumps are mainly due to “excessive price increases” prior to the holiday and that “the market is not as hot as the division had previously expected, as a last holiday in the year, to make a discount and sell one more”
Industry also reminds that there are usually different rates for airline tickets at different discounts. If consumers are not yet clear about the rate of refunds for airline tickets, they can be checked through the reservation platform. In addition to ticket jumps, there are also occasional movements in daily life, in which consumers may consider buying tickets in return for a refund, which can reduce some losses。
