Today, the price of the sorghum pig breeders must be seen! All
Hey, folks! I'm here today to talk to you about what's most important to our breeders! I've been wondering if i could give you an accurate forecast
"today, the price of a pig is delivered."
(data update: xx)
Three extra dollars for pigs: $18. 5-19. 8 per pound (+0. 3 compared to yesterday)
Piggy prices: $17. 2-18. 5 per pound (stability)
Piggy prices: $380-420 per head (involved by increased cost of vaccines)
Wholesale price of cold meat: $13. 8-15. 2 per pound (a marked increase in cold chain transport costs)
In particular, reminds us that there have recently been two suspected cases of swine plague in africa (which have been killed in the blockade) in herbs, and recommends that farmers suspend transregional transport and focus on biosafety protection
The truth behind price fluctuations
One, "triple pressure."
• elimination by the state of the withdrawal of pig production subsidies from the grand county (effective 1 january)
• environmental protection agency (epa) enhanced sewage treatment in farm farms (12 illegal sites closed)
• up to 16,000 points in the main pig-producing futures contract (increased volatility of financial capital entry)
2 = largely skewed supply and demand scales
• a 37 per cent decrease in the number of pig and pig patches in comparison to the same year (1. 1 million heads of femininity)
• 42 per cent increase in transfers to the north of hunan lake (release of capacity in neighbouring provinces)
• off-season consumption of meat products (28 per cent reduction in the consumption ring after spring)
Three times, four times
• corn prices: $1820 per ton (+8 per cent)
• soybean price: $4120 per ton (+5%)
• liquor prices: $1,100 per ton (+ 3 per cent)
• electricity price: 0. 85/degree (summer limit forecast)
The 30 days of the future
Short-term (7 days): price will maintain concussion bureau
• upstream hog strained (winter column delayed)
• re-heating pork consumption (cool school season)
• recommend weight control in the column at 260-270 pounds
Medium (15 days): possible policy window period
• release of data from the end of february storage column (possibly triggers the release of reserve meat)
• spring festival peak (surge demand in the south)
• focused monitoring: availability of female pig loads, maize imports volume
Long term (30 days +): commencement of turning signals
• high consumption season in march (plus two consumption expectations)
• cost end is likely to peak (international soybean prices fall)
The farmer's survival guide
1 cash flow management
• recommends that 20 per cent of liquidity be retained to deal with price fluctuations
• risk of hedges against futures options (recommended for pig futures from zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng zheng
• careful use of bank loans (over 6 per cent annualized interest rates)
• implementation of precision feeding (2. 8:1 per pig)
• promotion of the `breeding' model (increased use of pigs)
• establish an early warning system for epidemics (focusing on blue ear disease, circular viruses)
3 policy dividend capture
• application for “green farming subsidies” (up to 300,000/fields)
• participation in government meat reserve projects (over 50 entries per year)
• rehabilitation of the "digital pig farm" (us$ 300 per head)
Record of field visits
Last week, he ran to zhang's zhang pork farm, where he discovered that he was using the smart ring control system, which monitors temperature and ammonia concentrations in real time through a network of things, and that each pig's intake is accurate to grams. More importantly, he has developed a micro-intelligence program called bogars, which allows farmers to see price movements, vaccination alerts and subsidies at any time。
“the cost of feed has now decreased from 35 per cent to 28 per cent, and although 200,000 initial inputs have been made into the system, sufficient savings have been made to feed 500 more pigs. Zhang said that he would show the data screen on his cell phone。
Industry trends insight
Industry shuffles accelerated over the next three years (expected 40% phase-out)
2 upgrade of environmental requirements (95 per cent utilization of excreta)
3 ️⃣ expiration of deep-processed demand (a 15 per cent increase in the demand for prefabricated-led split meat)
4 ️⃣ digital transition required (smart feed feed, block chain trace)
[interactive answer time]
Q: is it time to hoard feed
A: proposed bulk purchases, with emphasis on south american soybeans delivered by the end of march (projected port price 4,100-4,200 yuan/tonne)
Q: what should small farmers do
A: focus on the development of `order agriculture', the docking of local food processing plants, and the conclusion of price-insurance agreements
Q: will african swine plague repeat its effects on farming
A: level iii biosafety (separate zone - buffer zone - production area) equipped with mobile ultraviolet disinfection car
[focus]
1. "piggy disease control capacity enhancement project " completed by 20 february (50% government subsidy)
2. New "environmental security" system (capable of collection) effective 1 march
3. Completion of "electronic earmarks" by 15 april (us$ 80 per head)
