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For decades, we have believed in a logic of life: to study well, to go to college, to get a diploma and to find a decent job. But by 2026, that logic is no longer working。
This year, the number of graduates of higher education institutions in the country reached 12. 7 million, and the number of former job-seekers, returnees and the number of candidates on the competitive examination list rose to 15 million. However, only over 5 million high-quality students were recruited, and two or three of them competed for one job. The most solid reality of today's talent market is that 985, 211 school diplomas have a premium, and that the vast majority of ordinary undergraduates and post-secondary diplomas are simply a basic entry ticket and can no longer be “stable for the rest of their lives”。

Employment in enterprises is no longer academic, basic civil, administrative, general civil service, etc., ai can be replaced in bulk, and general humanities undergraduates are heavily covered; skills such as new energy sources, high-end manufacturing, nursing care, auto repair, etc., are retroverted, there is a large gap in recruitment over the years, and the employment rate of vocational and specialist staff is maintained at more than 97 per cent annually, well above that of general humanities。
Many ordinary family parents are also brain-driving their children to go to school, to study blindly, to consume time, money, and finally to find themselves in a difficult position. Today, together with the current real employment structure, leaving aside the anxiety soup, objectively explaining the underlying causes of the devaluation of diplomas and the four ways in which ordinary family children can actually make it work, the sooner planning, the less passive it will be。
First of all, understand: 2026 diplomas are devalued, not so simple as too many college students
The difficulty of employment, the low value of diplomas, and the fact that university students are overrepresented have been compounded by triple changes, which have completely changed the value of their education。
1. The availability of education is widespread and structural layers are extremely visible
Ten years ago, undergraduates were scarce and are now in the market with thousands of class graduates each year, and undergraduates have become basic thresholds. The head-name school, the popular engineering profession, and the cold arts, and the general undergraduates of pan-business are still well-saturated. According to a survey conducted by the federation, the supply of and demand for basic humanities posts this year stands at 1:7,788 people for a basic post, starting with a small drop in wages for three years in a row, while new energy, smart manufacturing, ai training, etc., employ a multiplication rate of 3:1-5:1 in enterprises, while high-paid job-seekers are not available。
In short: not diplomas are useless, ordinary diplomas are devalued and hard cores + hard core skills are still scarce. There is a general undergraduate diploma, which is not supported by professional skills and is naturally uncompetitive。
2. Ai replaces a large number of low-threshold posts with zero purely clerical academic advantage
The most common exits after graduation: administration, clerks, basic operations, basic programmes, junior finance. Today, the ai tool can quickly complete the layout, writing, data collation and base statements, and the enterprise will no longer require a large number of base civilian staff. A large number of companies have been able to take over the workload of two or three clerks and have been blocked by technology by a purely diploma-based course of repetitive brain work。
Graduates who know only the theory of books and do not have the capacity to do what they do, even if they have an undergraduate degree, are extremely alternative in the workplace。
3. Business recruitment logic shift: heavy capacity, light paper education, priority for value for money
In the past, the threshold of first-class qualifications for large enterprises has been set; now, smes, and even many large and medium-sized enterprises, are being recruited with priority given to project experience, practical cases and speed of action. The same job, a skilled specialist capable of working immediately, and an ordinary undergraduate who only theoretically needs to be trained for a month or two, prefers to choose the former。
Salary data also confirm that the average start-up salary of 2026 students is around $5,800, and that general humanities is generally stuck to between 5500 and 6800, while skilled jobs such as new energy capital repairs, digital control techniques and high-end nursing are easily paid to mature workers, ranging from 8,000 to 15,000 per month, and salary increases in three or five years of service far exceed average white-collar pay。
Ii. To put aside all the anxiety, the average kid can walk out of the next four
In combination with industrial gaps, policy orientation and the reality of employment, ordinary families can have steady and good development without simply crowding out the pukko, the underco, and rational planning of the four paths。
Step one: skills to set up a course, take a career course, learn hard-core skills (low cultural choices)
This is the largest gap and one of the highest employment rates in the country's current history, completely breaking the old bias of “no future in vocational schools”。
1. Industry just needs a hot-skill orientation, avoiding cold-door useless professions
Priority is given to practical professions that have long been scarce in the industry, avoiding empty management and marketing professions:
1. New energy vehicle technology, smart auto repair, drone mobility: the new energy vehicle stock surge, the huge talent gap for maintenance, testing and retrofitting, the widespread monthly salary of over 10,000 in three years and a reasonable threshold for starting a business
2. High-end care, old-age care, rehabilitation physiotherapy: ageing, combined with child-care needs, poor supply of certified care and home-based care providers, first- and second-line urban salary of 7,000 per month and adequate staffing in private institutions
3. Intelligent manufacturing, numerical control, electromechanical, bim engineering: high-end skilled factory workers, a well-developed system of new grade viii workers, salaries of technicians and high-level technicians, full benefits
4. New media operations, short video clips, ui design, ai trainers: new digitized occupations, value of works and exercise, liberal education threshold, and income from two channels, single and full time。
2. The career course is completely accessible and no longer has a degree in smallpox board
Many parents are incompetent and are concerned that the children will not be able to advance their education later on. The system of advanced entrance examinations for 2026 has been perfected: secondary school students can take advanced examinations, 3+2 high-level and higher-level examinations, full-time post-secondary studies, undergraduate studies, full-fledged diplomas and general high-level examinations, all of which are available on the internet, and are accepted by all candidates, examiners and examiners。
The examination focused on basic culture + professional skills, which is much less difficult than the general highs, competitions are limited to secondary students, who do not have to compete with high school students, and secondary students who have less difficulty landing。
Planning proposal: in the middle of the mid-level grades, the psg rate of compulsory enrolment is limited to private universities, rather than high-quality middle-level jobs, with a focus on skills-based professions, while at the same time studying for advanced studies and skills + qualifications。
Step two: a special course for deep-farming applications, with no cold undergraduate rolls (primary choice for cultural classes)
If the child is able to enter the baccalaureate, he/she will not be blind to the generalities such as the kahan language, marketing, administration and philosophy, and will be able to choose, as far as possible, the type of applied and technically barrierd profession and retain the gold content of the diploma。
Priority is given to four categories of conservative professions:
1. The practical categories of engineering: electrical, civil, engineering, mechanical, drainage, vehicle engineering, new demand in various trades, job stability and experience
2. Medical care: nursing, testing, pharmacology, imagery, in demand industries, whether public hospitals or private institutions, always have stable jobs
3. Computer applications: software development, network operations, network security, avoidance of purely theoretical computers, practice practice and collection of project works for employment
4. Public teacher training, pre-school education: stable staffing, social demand and high tolerance。
It's critical to avoid pits: don't go blind to avoid employment
For the first time, the number of students enrolled in the national examination exceeded the number of candidates. A large number of undergraduate students studied only to slow down employment, finish three years, become more serious in the same trade, and pay increases do not cover the time and financial costs of studying。
The best strategies for general undergraduate studies are: more internships at universities, savings projects, just-required diplomas at university level, direct employment at the senior level and experience gained over three years of work, which is much more valuable than a master's degree at a general college。
Option three: institutional stabilization of routes, stratification planning, non-settling of thousands of people (stable family preferences)
Young people are now in the mainstream, with high levels of heat in the national competitive examinations, provincial examinations, business establishments, state enterprises and zhang zhang, but the speed of the popular combination of reports is one thousand to one, the price of hard work for ordinary children is extremely low, and the difficulty of landing is significantly reduced。
1. Civil servants: avoiding integrated urban and clerical posts, giving priority to community-based posts, administrative enforcement, market regulation, agro-technology and irrigation, among others, to restrict professional positions, the more limited they are, the smaller the number of candidates to apply for them, and the lower the threshold of three open-ended posts
2. Establishments: medical, technical, agricultural, primary and secondary schoolteachers, library and civil service staff, with a large number of posts in specialized, vocational and applied undergraduate disciplines, with a higher professional match than the school reputation
3. Quantities, local state enterprises: electricity grids, tobacco, rail transport, water, urban inputs, new energy state enterprises, large numbers of skilled specialists, highly skilled personnel, and not just civilian office staff。
Core logic: institutional recruitment, a large number of technical and practical jobs at the grass-roots level, a high degree of professional excellence, not a single degree of academic excellence, and a more realistic position-to-post approach。
Way out: light assets autonomous track, crafts + small business, localization demand service (preferably good at communication, hands-on skills)
It is not only the opening of a large business, but the best business for ordinary people is a small local business, with low thresholds and stable cash flows, which are much more free than squeezing the inside of a writing building。
The right direction for ordinary people:
Automobile protection, beauty membrane, new energy battery overhaul
2. High-end household cleaning, household electrical cleaning, maintenance of soft clothes, childcare
3. Meals are ready for small shops, baked and ready for distribution in the community
4. Local short video generation operations, commercial shop visits, and online orientation。
The core of this type of business is based on crafts, reputations, services, and the low impact of diplomas is small, as long as they are solid and stable and earn far more than ordinary white collars. A large number of technical and specialist students have been working in the local industry for several years and earn far more than ordinary undergraduate students in office。
Three, three, three misconceptions, many parents still stomping on the pit, wasting their children planning
Zone 1: all-powerful, only one way to get to pukko
Correct: education is only one of many tracks, and employment in 2026 is based on a combination of values. Cultural subjects are highly gifted, forced to go to high school, paid for undergraduates, and finally received a common diploma in devaluation. Vocational education and general education are equally important and constitute a clear policy direction for the state。
Mistake 2: skills are hard work. White collars must be blue collars. Noodles
Corrected: decentness is determined by income, security, working environment, not office space. High-end technicians, certified mechanics, new energy engineers, salary, five-risk pay, social status are being promoted. Under the new eight-tier system, senior technicians'salaries are managing the middle layer, the basic white collars of brain rolls, overtime work, substitution and not necessarily more stable。
Mistake 3: mix the diploma first, there's always a way
Correct: businesses are now becoming more sophisticated, with university specializations and practical experience, which directly determine the first job. The choice of a cold-water specialty, after four years of undergraduate studies, without a skill, would only lead to the embarrassment of graduation, with a diploma as a blank paper。
Iv. Planning by age. Parents do
1. Primary, lower secondary school: instead of focusing only on scores, focusing on the development of hands-on skills, self-regulation, communication and problem-solving skills, early observation of children's cultural talents and mastery, and not waiting for mid-level examinations to make hasty decisions
2. Middle-level examination points: high-quality, high-priority, high-level, high-quality, high-level, high-level professional selection; low-performance, direct targeting of high-quality high-level professional staff with new skills, and planning of advanced examinations
3. High school, university level: after choosing the track, refuse to lie flat, undergraduates catch internships and diplomas, and teach hard work and advanced education, and not waste school time
4. The job-seeking stage: a general diploma is not to be highly qualified, priority is given to developing experience and building one's own non-replaceable skills, and pay and development will naturally follow。
At the end
The devaluation of 2026 diplomas is essentially a period of time from “diploma scarcity” to “capacity scarcity”. The head of a school is always worth money, and the dividends of a general diploma have faded. For the children of the vast majority of ordinary families, life is not just a standard answer for the entrance examination, the writing building。
When the culture is advanced, it follows the path to higher education; when the skills are strong, the skills track is cultivated; when the peace is sought, the basic positions within the system are planned in a practical manner; and when it is good at doing business, the local service is needed。
Being aware of their talents and realities, not blindly or in the wind, finding the path that suits them, grinding their core competitiveness to the ground is far more durable than pursuing a general diploma。
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