Before the arrival of this year's “golden and silver ten”, the building market had shown a high temperature in august. According to statistics from the centre for the study of markets in china, in august the total number of new housing units contracted in 54 cities nationwide amounted to 252,000, an increase of 6. 4 per cent in the ring. This is also the highest point in the last four months。
Whether the house is closed or the land is closed, this year's “golden and silver ten” is no doubt the beginning of a boom。
At the same time that the real estate market in beijing was beginning to get up, the overall house price in the country's major cities continued to rise。
It is worth noting that, in the midst of a surge, cities such as wenzhou and rock lake rely on the policy of “distiement”. At the same time, the cities of zhengzhou and nanjing are further tightening their control measures. Is the building market at a crossroads? What does the “one-size-fits-all” posture of multi-city regulation mean?
It's hard to get the city's temperature down with an increase in supply. Station
According to statistics from the ministry of research on the market of china's real estates, a total of 59039 new housing units were contracted in beijing in august of this year, with a total building area of 7. 01 million square metres, the second highest in the last five years。
According to the results of a survey conducted by a housing data research centre on the price dynamics of the 100 disk in beijing in august this year, only four of the 100 priority buildings have been priced, and most of the items have been lined up. The rise in prices in cities such as beijing has been accompanied by “one-size-fits-all” regulatory policies in some cities。
“the chinese building city has seen a de facto double-drinking ice fire: prices have risen in two-line cities, while the three-line cities have experienced a backlog of stocks and difficulty selling their land.” in an interview with a journalist, zhang daewei, director-general of the ministry of research on the market of china's estates, said that local regulation would be polarized when long-term mechanisms were not expected to be put in place。
There's been an explosion in the construction of new commercial homes
"it's not enough to find a connection." this is the most that journalists have heard since this year at the beijing commodity house market. At the same time, several practitioners mentioned in their conversations with journalists that relatives and friends around them were looking for homes. “the current situation is unprecedented, and there is a consensus that the post-market will rise.” according to one developer。
Demand has contributed to the exchange of fire, and the irresistible supply-and-demand conflict has increased the frequency of the beijing “day cd-rom”。
In the case of china international port, a total of 1,462 housing units were launched on july, but a total of 3813 purchasers participated in the roll-on. Thermal sales at china international port were only the beginning, and since mid-july, six projects have seen “sunlight”。
The results of a survey conducted by a housing data research centre on the price dynamics of the 100 disks in beijing in august this year show that only four of the 100 priority buildings have been priced down, mostly on tailings. In addition, 34 projects experienced price increases, up to 25 per cent。
“the continuing boom in the market for new commodity housing is due, on the one hand, to the fact that the demand for eligible housing is still large and, on the other hand, to the current policy environment.” zhang xu, research department of chained real estate markets, stated to journalists。
“there are signs of a deepening of supply-demand conflict in the current ranking of projects, pre-sale. As zhang xu said, the supply of the building had increased in august, but for beijing, where there was a strong demand, it was still “less cheesy”。
Monthly data from the ahou institute show that 28 projects opened in beijing in august added a cumulative set of 6503, after the peak supply of 7592 in july. The cumulative additional supply in beijing house in july and august reached 14,000 units, close to 17,000 in the second quarter of this year。
Even so, in terms of overall supply and demand, the market supply of the buildings was maintained at 6,500 units in august, while 8708 units were contracted. “the high level of supply continues to stand in the way of increasing supply and demand, essentially due to a concentration of housing enterprises in conflict with the government, housing companies and markets.” according to the deputy general manager of the ahou institute, the poor quality of land supply over the previous two years had led to a high demand for land by housing enterprises and, although the supply and demand tension in the land market had eased this year, it was still difficult to achieve results in the short term, which directly led to a sharp rise in land prices; highland prices, on the other hand, increase the room for housing price increases。
High ground prices push higher house prices
The rise in house prices is expected as a direct result of the wave of looting。
On 22 august, polytechnic university no. 9, located in changyang, hiyayama, beijing, was taken into account by the 10,000-year-old industry. In 10,000 years, the basic industry built new housing areas at a total price of $1. 574 billion plus 42,000 square metres of limited housing, with a premium of 49. 9 per cent. As a result, the floor price in the mountains exceeded $20,000, and there was a resurgence of “flour” prices that exceeded the “bread”。
“how can the rest of the region not go up? A beijing developer told journalists that the company's projected sales price for the project, which was about to enter the market in september, had remained constant at $35,000 per square metre, but that the price was also being set up after the shooting。
It is not only beijing that has high land prices. On 26-28 august, multiple plots in guangzhou, xiamen and shanghai were closed, with a premium of over 100 per cent and a maximum of 185 per cent。
Statistics show that in august 2013, 10 typical urban land concessions generated $8. 116 billion, an increase of nearly 1. 5 times over the same period in 2012 and 31. 3 per cent over the same period in 2011。
The high level of land purchases reflects the large financial resources available to housing enterprises since this year. In july, ten branded housing enterprises acquired 41. 2 billion yuan, the third highest since 2009, after 43. 4 billion yuan in september and 47. 3 billion yuan in december 2009。
“if the real estate policy landscape remains as it is in the second half of the year, the upward trend in the price of flats will continue. With regard to land markets, high-quality plots in second-line cities will continue to be the focus of competition for standard housing.” according to zhang dawei, housing companies look to the latter municipalities collectively and have an unprecedented demand for land. In terms of overall market trends, land as the sole raw material for the real estate market, high land prices have clearly stimulated increases in housing prices. “the vexed land market will soon transmit price information to the residential trading market, and the rise in the price of the building will continue to be maintained at `golden and silver'.”
The city's cycle or near end
While the beijing real-estate market is “severe,” the overall house price in the country's major cities has continued to rise。
According to the data, in august 2013, 100 cities nationwide (in thousands of cities) the average price of dwellings is $10,442 per square metre, an increase of 0. 92 per cent from july, which is the fifteenth consecutive month since june 2012, with 71 cities rising and 29 cities falling。
The rise in prices in multi-story cities has been accompanied by “one-size-fits-all” regulatory policies in some cities. Among these, wenzhou and shaan lake eased policy regulation by adjusting their purchase restrictions and increasing housing subsidies, while chengzhou and nanjing further tightened regulatory policy。
“the chinese building city has seen a de facto double-flash: prices have risen in two-line cities, while in three-line cities there has been a backlog of stocks and difficulties in selling land.” according to zhang daewei's analysis。
In response, wai ying, vice-president of my group, said that since august, in order to implement the goal of “further reducing the price of home-based improved commodity housing” and to mitigate supply- and demand-side tensions, beijing has deployed relevant departments to work urgently on the development of home-based housing supply sites and related policies。
“from the central government, the shift from prosecution to prosecution has resulted in long-lasting mechanisms that are consistent with the characteristics of the following markets: a low-end guaranteed, a middle-end supported and a high-end market.” according to hu, since last year, beijing has controlled the price of the house through pre-sale certificates, which have not worked significantly. However, the construction of an international city in the mountains in 2010 was also piloted at a “limited price”, with a clear effect on controlling house prices. Therefore, the extension of price-limiting steps to the land concession stage is also a powerful way to control housing prices。
“whether it be from the perspective of coordinated urban development, from the perspective of urbanization or the purpose of economic transformation, it is necessary to contain the current surge in urban prices.” according to zhang, the economy has stabilized, long-term mechanisms for regulation have been largely developed and the construction cycle is nearing its end。
There are thousands of lootings of buildings around beijing
On 31 august, less than 8 a. M., zhang chong (alias) took a bus from close to one to the shangri-la hotel near the beijing three-ring purple bamboo bridge. He was informed by the sales staff that the building of concern to him would be used for a client upgrade. "it's really about rocking." zhang said to reporters。
On arrival at the scene, zhang became more concerned about the situation. Journalists who arrived at the same time saw that there were thousands of people who could sit in the reception hall, and many late-timers could only stand on either side of the hall。
From the scene, journalists were informed that the building was located in hong kong ideal bay, hebei prefecture, and that 600 housing units would be launched in one phase. On the day of the event, more than 1,500 home buyers arrived at the site. “95 per cent of them were clients from beijing”. The project's general manager, lee hongsong, spoke to journalists。
There's an exchange of fire around beijing
The explosion in hong kong's ideal bay is just a microcosm of the current trade in beijing-based regional buildings. As a result of the continuing impact of the restraining order, an increasing number of new spills have been required, one of which is carried out in the cities surrounding beijing, xianzhou。
The seamless link between northern cities has become a major factor in the state of luang, but this small town has been hotened by the upgrading of the concept of the “economic circle around the capital” and the high level of iron。
During the visit, journalists observed seven or eight housing project reception centres within a distance of 1,000 metres on east chinnan street, south of cultural square in central wuzhou。
According to the press, the average price of the newly opened building is currently around $6,000/m2. “a total of 500 rooms were sold at the time of the opening of the previous phase, and were sold out on that day.” the salesman of the sale project near huayang road, wuzhou, told the press that the average selling price of the project is currently $8,200/m2, which is the highest in the price of the sale。
“before the zheizhou region was closed to fire only in the centre of the city and has now moved more to the new high iron town area.” a local developer in kanzhou told the journalist。
New city of high iron, which is known to have an overall plan of 5 square kilometres and a construction area of 10 million square metres, will have a population of 120,000 in the future. Journalists saw on the ground that a number of projects were currently under construction, including the above-mentioned hong kong ideal bay project。
“the local resident population is only 300,000, and the new high iron zone has been built mainly to address the emerging needs of beijing, where the next 12 high railways attract many home buyers.” le hongsong told journalists that, according to his presentation, 95 per cent of intended clients came from beijing, citing hong kong ideal bay。
The city, which has just been supported by beijing, is also supported by other beijing regions around hebei, most notably in the yuen suburbs and the chan river。
On 1 september, journalists got off at the 816 bus stop of the yan tide pill factory in yan's suburbs and were immediately surrounded by a dozen small advertisements for the sale of houses, arguing for a presentation of the various buildings to the journalists. Sales staff from various sales outlets interviewed indicated to journalists that the price of many buildings in yan suburbs had risen sharply to over $10,000 per square metre。
New battle opportunities for housing
A large number of new spills also make developers smell business opportunities。
During a visit to the river market, journalists found that prominent developers entering the river included mantung, hong qun and wealthy properties. “the average price of the newly built housing in the chan river is now nearly $3,000/m2 lower than in yan's suburbs, which is the main reason why the city of shanhe house is taking over the demand for houses in beijing.” a local developer said to journalists。
“the entire 5 square kilometres of land in the new town of gao iron, wuzhou, will then follow and it is known that more than 10 brand companies will be involved in land acquisition.” a local developer in the state of zhuzhou told the press。
“the brand housing company will be the leader of the regional rise in housing prices, which are now the first of its kind in hong kong and k2, followed by a growing number of developers. The developmentists said:。
Statistics show that in august this year, the average turnover rate in the oscillian suburbs was $9730 per square metre; (a) the average new disk price in the state of 涿 is $6409/m2; the average price of the new disk in the river is $6811/m2。
It is worth noting that, in the broader context of the expected success of the beijing regional building, some developers have taken up land in these locations. The happiness industries in huasha currently owns 475 square kilometres of land in zhongzhou, while shi mao's property goes even to large factories to return to the autonomous districts, which are located east of yan, far from beijing。
As regional housing prices have risen, so have regional inventories in beijing. According to statistics, for example, the stock of merchandise dwellings rose from 1. 65 million square metres at the end of march to 1. 7 million square metres at the end of august; secondly, the county of guangan also increased from 810,000 square metres in march to 930,000 square metres by the end of august。
“at present, hebei's 3rd and 4th-line cities in the beijing region show an overall upward trend in stocks. The driving force behind this increase in stocks is fundamentally different from that of the remaining three or four-line cities.” the researchers made a drastic leap to point out that, in the context of the continued rise in housing prices in beijing, many developers were looking towards areas close to beijing and were therefore more intense in terms of new construction。
The high-end disk "sells" and just borrow "run."
This year's developers clearly have a much greater bottom line than last year's “golden 9 and silver 10” launch of preferential activities to stimulate sales。
Beijing, one of the toughest cities in terms of local regulations, is slowly recovering with modest increases in the issuance of pre-sale certificates。
In an interview with a journalist, daily economic news, zhang hua, director-general of the research centre for convergence and counselling, stated that the “no-go-go-go-go” campaign was still being promoted at the sales halls of front-line cities such as beijing. Second, beacon will be concerned about the market's dealings, pushing the goods in an exploratory manner, slowly raising prices, raising the temperature of the market and keeping the entire market active. However, there has been a fragmentation of products in different business situations. Some of the mansions slowed down their sales and raised prices, while just-negotiated cars chose to “loan” to speed up the pace of de-diversion。
High-end homes in the region face a situation of “cooking” compared to existing demand. In the case of kim mao town in kyoto, the sale has continued to improve since its first entry. To date, all of the first and second editions have been sold out and three new editions are under active preparation。
According to ahou, in the first seven months, 92 high-end residential units were sold in the beijing ring at prices exceeding $80,000 per square metre, compared to 75 in the same period in 2012 and 87 in 2011。
It is noteworthy that real estate owners of residential development projects along the four rings mostly control the speed of sales by raising prices through current house sales. The upward pressure on housing prices in beijing continues to increase。
In the east four-ring chinese diaspora, journalists visited china in march this year at an average price of $37,000 per square metre, whereas the current price has risen to approximately $48,500 per square metre. According to the beijing municipal housing commission network, the last phase of the project's pre-sale certificate was obtained in september 2012 and the current housing stock is current. According to sales personnel, openings are expected in the next period and prices may increase further。
Based on the pricing of 26 projects expected to enter the market in september, only 8 projects announced advance prices, while the remaining 18 were in an open state. Of the eight projects for which advance prices have been announced, “high prices” remain the main melody, exceeding 50 per cent over the same period。
The supply of beijing house is not enough for the city to sell. In contrast, there is a greater focus on “leveraging trends” for starters。
On august 31st, in an interview with a journalist, the head of a housing company sales director said that even if the market was better than in previous years, it would be possible to miss the “golden and silver ten” season. For housing enterprises with tight financial chains, it is clear that the “sale-for-sale” strategy is not working in a state of unclear regulatory policy。
The project marketing director of a large state enterprise has also revealed that there is a need for a fair balance of prices and that there must be pressure to raise prices if there is no special quality resources。
According to statistics from the ministry for the study of the market of china's estates, the number of newly contracted housing units in beijing was 8708 throughout august, an increase of 34. 2 per cent. Foreign deals have reached an all-beijing record of 88. 24 per cent. This proportion stood at 85 per cent in january 2013, while the transaction price continued to rise。
The sharp leap indicates that the market's expectations have been exacerbated by the uncertainties surrounding the move towards building market policy in the second half of beijing. Fearing that more stringent and complex policies will be in place in the future, as well as increased taxes and administrative costs for house purchases, eligible home buyers will be likely to “strength first”. “communicated fanaticism has also contributed to an invisible rise in house prices.”
According to statistics from the ministry for the study of the market of china's real estates, during the first eight months of this year, 59039 new housing units were contracted in beijing (to remove guaranteed housing), with a total building area of 7. 01 million square metres, the second highest in the last five years, after 2009. However, as a result of price increases, the total turnover has reached $162 billion, surpassing the record record of creating the highest in 2009. This represents a 9. 4 per cent increase over the same period in 2009. In 2009, the commercial housing stock in beijing (the removal of guaranteed housing) reached a record high of 25,788 million yuan, and it is expected that this year's total will be surpassed by 270 billion yuan。
