Should i buy or sell in 2026? Ma yun predicted that the city had changed
Should i buy or sell in 2026? Ma yun predicted that the city had changed
You're still watching the house prices go up and down? Whether or not to buy a house in 2026 is not as simple as “up” or “down”。
Two days ago, i brushed my circle of friends, and a friend sent out a picture of his family for six months, and nobody asked that the broker said, “not even now can afford to pay for his property”. It's not a storehouse. It's a burden. But on the other side, the sea in shenzhen is a small three-dominant for 45 days. You see, the market is no longer a pot of porridge. The better it is, the better it is, the worse it is。
The data for 2024 had already killed the road: 10 million sets in second-hand rooms nationwide, nearly 2 million more than two years earlier. It's not a digital game, it's real people selling. Even more alarming is the fact that 47 of the 70 large and medium-sized cities are experiencing a fall in the price of their homes, with the largest decline of 12. 3 per cent. And if you still think that the house doesn't fall, it's probably not a cognitive problem, it's too harsh。
The phrase “the cheapest house in eight years is the house” in mavun, which now sounds like a prophecy, is already a reality. Our per capita housing area has reached 41. 8 m2, which is higher than in many developed countries. Houses are no longer scarce, but are a struggle between “waste dumps” and “golden mines” in stock assets。
Don't rush to conclusions. In 2026 it was still for sale, not “time”, but “location” and “attribution”。
First of all, buy. What you think is "buy a house," and now you have to replace it with "select assets." the average price of the new house in shanghai is 150,000/m2, which sounds scary, but it has a short trade cycle and a steady demand because it is industrial, talented and compatible. Zhengzhou's far-flung, $6,000 is flat, more than 2021, with a 30 per cent vacancy rate. So let's stop listening to the word “low” and “bottoming”. The real opportunity lies in those places that are being filled with policies and populations. The beijing vice-center ii was completed in 2025, and five new cities in shanghai imported 300,000 people a year, with two economic circles growing at the highest rate in the country. These are not “the future”, but “the present”。
Watch selling again. A lot of people are wondering whether to sell, but the answer is long ago. What does that mean? No one's willing to take over, even at reduced prices. Where's the chalk? In some projects in hainan, prices fell by 40 per cent from the high point of 2018, and when it started to blow up, even intermediaries are now reluctant to show it. There are also high-rise housing, with high limits and a direct revaluation of value, and developers themselves are beginning to make good deals。
If you have a room like this, don't wait for 2026, you have to move now. One day later, the risk of devaluation is added。
What do you think? Don't push it. Try changing it. The annualized income of reits is now guaranteed at 5. 8 per cent, which is significantly higher than the savings and is endorsed by the state. Beijing and shanghai have started pushing the urban renewal fund to invest in old-age adaptation projects with steady returns. Even the japanese and singapore properties have started to be set up not to fire, but to spread risks — when the domestic market enters a “structural adjustment period” — and overseas deployment becomes a new demand。
The way of dealing is changing. Now 35% of the deal depends on vr, 60% increase in short video tapes, and if you're still a traditional broker, you give up the client. And what's more, there's the right-to-price insurance -- you hang up, and if the price drops at a certain rate, the insurance company pays you the difference. This is not a sale, it is a “negotiation insurance” for the owner。
What did the expert say? The wing zepin team said that the “l-type” of real estate would be completed by 2024 to 2026, and that the core city's high-quality assets would maintain a return of 4 to 6 per cent. China gold corporation is even worse: housing demand peaks have passed, trades will remain at around 1. 2 billion m2 in the long run, and real estate contributions to GDP have dropped from 7. 3 per cent to 5 per cent. This means that it can no longer pull the economy, but quality assets can still make money。
Morgan stanley said that chinese real estate was going through a “japan-style transition” — not a collapse, a slow retreat, but all that left behind was the best. The bank predicts that the income ratio of first-line urban housing prices is expected to return to a reasonable range of 12:1 in 2026, indicating that prices will eventually return to their basics。
So, how do you decide in 2026? Don't look at the macro, look at the details; don't say slogans, look down. Three major projects are being carried out: housing security, rehabilitation of urban villages, and the opportunity to start work soon. Keep an eye on 28 “cities with positive population growth” and don't bet on out-migration. More emphasis should be placed on intelligent homes, green buildings, which are “invisible re-organisations of values” — the future house is not just a weather cover, but a vehicle for life efficiency。
At the end of the day, the property in 2026 was not about luck, poor information and judgment. Whether your house is an asset or a liability depends on whether you see the truth about this change。
Don't wait until someone tells you it's time to sell
