In the past two months, prices have fallen below their peak. For example, a famous building in yan's suburbs is the city of the sky. The city of tianyang is a giant pavilion of swallows, with 47 pyramid towers, with a total of 15,489 families. The city of tianyang, though not in the middle of the river, is located in the heart of the easy-to-living town of yan, where there has always been a high rate of hand change and investment is a sign of movement in the town of yan. At the highest point at the beginning of last year, tianyang city peaked at $32,000 to $35,000, close to which a large number of houses were sold. After last march's regulation, the price of the yan suburbs fell to about $22,000 last august, when news of the execution of the yan suburbs was frequently reported. For almost a year thereafter, the exchange price for the second-hand room in tianyang city remained between 19,000 and 23,000, neither rising nor falling. In the view of many, $20,000 is the base price of yan. In the three northern counties, where good news continues, there is no room for a drop in the price of 20,000 in yan suburbs. Unfortunately, however, since early august this year, 20,000 back-up prices have been completely broken down and continue to decline in the town of yan, which has been holding for a year. The recent sale of a second-hand room in tianyang city has fallen to $16,000 to $17,000 to $17,000, compared to the peak of $35,000, which is true, with no water, even ass cut. At present, a few of the best-placed and best-quality buildings in yan's suburbs, such as east hawaii, seoul sweet city, the nine rixiang dyke, the twilight star office, etc., are barely holding the price at around $20,000, with the rest falling almost entirely below $20,000. Now, in natanburg, yanjing city, merrilling bay and starfleet moon, the majority of the palettes are sold at 17,000-18,000, and the large plate, such as upper city, has fallen to 15,000. The drop was massive, the drop was fast, and many people fell through their glasses. In less than two months, the price of second-hand houses in yan suburbs fell by 10-15 points. Would 15,000 be the end of yan's peri-house price? What happened in the last two months that suddenly brought down the price of the peri-urban house that had been strongly supported? Despite not being part of beijing, the adjoining town of beijing has always been a bridgehead and wind sign, and when there is wind in beijing, the peri-urban is the fastest. The boom in the town of yan in 2016 resulted from the relocation of the beijing government and the establishment of the vice-center of tunzhou, and the boom in the ring, which lacked control, resulted in a sudden collapse. A year goes from 10,000 to more than 30,000, and if not regulation, 40,000 points can be broken. After six months of regulation, yan's peri-urban house prices have been running steady for a year at 20,000. Why? The second is confidence in the deputy center. Since may this year, the three northern counties have been well established, and the development of integration between tunzhou and the three northern counties has been recognized by the government and endorsed by officials, which has strengthened confidence in the north. Third, beijing has fallen for more than a year, housing prices have stabilized, and stability in beijing means stability in the three northern counties. For many who have invested in the north, the next step is to sail and rekindle the second spring. I can't believe it's a fast fall in the price of a swallow house. In fact, everything has not changed, the money has not changed, and the city's relocation to beijing is under way, and the integration process of the sub-centres of the three northern districts is under way, with the first three to five years to come. The yan suburbs are still the yan suburbs and the north three are still the north three. The only difference is that expectations have changed. Starting in the second half of the year, the city's wind has changed sharply, and the meeting of the 731 political bureau has been a turning point. With the government's firm and consistent regulation of the city, its unswerving leverage and the continuing lack of public opinion, we have finally awakened, this time for real, not for wolves. More than a decade of rising market expectations were finally broken. Once broken, confidence that is more important than gold is expected to be lost, followed by house prices. Since autumn, the price of second-hand houses in beijing has shown signs of a fall over the previous few months. Even in thongzhou, where the increase had been slow in the previous few months, the rise had been halted, with some small reversals. Beijing still has a lot of just needed support, but yan is not. Despite the large number of homeowners in the adjoining suburbs, the number of investors who have entered the market in the last two years has reached a critical point with their confidence and financial support after more than a year of ups and downs. A friend i know is very representative. He himself lived on the outskirts of yan, with three houses, one for himself and two for investment. In addition to the low purchase price of the first home, the other two were purchased during a period of rapid increase in the price of houses in the yan suburbs. One buy-in price was close to 20,000, the other was close to 30,000, and, most importantly, both were the first set of mortgages, with interest added to the loan for more than 20,000 a month, and he was still unemployed. It's not uncommon for investors like him to be in yan. Last october, when i talked to him about the house price, he was confident in the market and that the house price in yan's suburbs would sooner or later return to higher positions. He was convinced that, if he could survive the most difficult period, he would be able to win the investment defence war and finally realize his dream of putting two or three sets of adjoining properties in high places to replace a high-quality building in the sun. I have not seen him again in the last year, but it is conceivable that he suffered so much during that year. Not only are the prices of peri-urban houses not rising, they continue to fall slightly, and more than 20,000 payments per month remain impassable. Even if he were to believe that the price of yan's peri-urban house would soon return, it would be too long for him to stay up until dawn because of his financial situation. In addition to the large number of investors and changes in expectations, there is an important point in the fall of the olympics. In the adjoining suburbs of beijing, the controls are very strict, and three years of local social security mines are not working and there is no room to drill. Even after the launch of the enhanced version of the new deal in june last year, some people began to pay social security coverage in yan's suburbs, and they will not be eligible to buy a house until june 2020. It's been too long. The investors can't wait. Unlike yan's suburbs, where large plants have a large number of new plates and developers have flexible operating models, yan's suburbs are already a stock market and new plates are scarce. The second-hand house trade lacks flexibility and only qualified persons are able to access it. The number of sellers and buyers is grossly disproportionate. After high-pressure regulation, the peri-house prices of yan have been supported by expectations, which are based on the expectation that, once broken, the support will be broken, 20,000 dollars in minutes will collapse, and the second-hand house prices of yan will fall sharply. Another catalyst has been popular recently, and the nssa will be connected as of 1 january next year, which is also a hammer for many people who pay social security and tax in the circum-kyoto with a view to becoming eligible to buy a house after three years. Many believe that once connected, social security will not be able to pay two social security and one tax simultaneously. Indeed, there is uncertainty as to whether social security will be connected next year, even if it will eventually result in a failure to pay both, or an increase in the amount of tax paid, but this rumour has undoubtedly increased the profitability of the market. Of course, more people are concerned that the price of yan's peri-urban house will fall. Can the houses be bought in the north? It seems to me that the fall in the current round of swallows is completely different from the one that followed last year's regulation. Last year's fall was the one that fell after being heavily regulated, with swallow suburbs representing only themselves, while swallow suburbs were falling while many cities were rising. The current round has fallen, and yan's suburbs are always the front-line city representatives, more like the national building city. Once the overall expectations of the market change, investors will not give up just on yan. Attention is drawn to the recent developments in the city news, the drop in prices in xiamen, the drop in prices in hangzhou, the drop in prices in xi'an, the drop in prices in chengdu, the fall in prices, the right to defend weight, the right to defend beijing, the right to defend nanjing, and the right to defend chang sha'i. The price reduction and the protection of rights, like the twin children of the same pair, have begun to spread on the ground in the canyon. As far as i'm concerned, i have received applications from a number of fans in beijing, tianjin and others to help them with the building. With all due respect, most of the reasons for this have not touched me. These reasons can be ignored at the time of the increase in the price of the house, but they appear to be so sharp when the building is cold. House buyers are less vulnerable and developers are less shameless. I don't want to make blind predictions about whether or not yan's future will continue to fall. It is expected that, following this reversal, the city will no longer be divided, as it was in the first half of the year, with cities rising and cities falling; it will be a whole country, with every success and loss. The fall of the swallow will no longer represent only itself. My sincere advice to all of you is that when many people lose their sense of calm, you have to keep your mind calm, which is the beginning of your investment promotion. I have always been convinced that the gains and losses of a city do not in any way represent the long-line movement of the chinese building city, which is not a stock market and should hold long rather than short-term fire. Perhaps there were a lot of short-liners who earned a lot of money in the city of bulls for more than a decade, with their luck and courage, through low-sniffing high-pumping. But the time has passed, the suspension of first-line and second-line cities has risen and short-line opportunities are no longer ordinary people, but the good news is that the silver age of long-line investments is probably just beginning. The future chinese building market will gradually be connected to the international building market, while value investment is a prerequisite for long-line holdings。you don't have to do that
