House prices are still rising, with 150,000 less on the books each year, and whether it is going up or down。
Many middleman friends recently said, “yang chun is here, the second-hand room in beijing in shanghai has a record, and my friend has raised the price of his house by 20,000. But i went over the latest figures from the ministry of shells and housing construction, and at the end of march the national second-hand house price was 8. 55 per cent lower than it was last year, that is, a 2 million house, and more than 170,000 less paper a year. The increase of 0. 4 per cent is the ring, and the drop of 8. 3 per cent is the same-- it's like 200 more dollars this month, but counting 10,000 less than last year, you dare say "good luck"
The price of the house can't be seen in the mouths of the middleman and the price of the card. The actual number of cards is increasing, but the number of real sales is decreasing. In particular, on the 3rd and 4th line, many of the sub-districts have been unsuspected for six months, and have either been reduced by 300,000 or dragged into a studio. The first-line cities are not all fragrances, but the old ones outside the outer ring, with no elevators and no school district, are worth 2 million, three months, zero, down 1. 65 million, or no deposit. The broker said, "no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no
Population data is here. You can't lie. By the end of 2025, there were 323 million people over the age of 60, or nearly a quarter of the population. There are 30 million fewer people after 0000 than after 9000, fewer married and fewer children. In a small district, there are more and more elderly people in their 70s and 80s and fewer children. The chain is now more than half broken when it used to be “married for a house, baby for a house, parents for a down payment”. Old-age replacement? The reality is that old people don't want to move, young people don't want to pick up-- it's empty, it can't be rented, it can't be sold, the elevators need to be repaired and the entire building signed。
The housing stock is long gone. The ministry of housing census says there are 600 million houses in the country. What's the concept? On average, 1. 2 houses per person. But many live in old buildings 20 years ago, leaking water, lacking temperature and lacking accessibility. The policy is not to push you to buy a house, but to push developers and local governments to change the old house and take away the vacant house as a safe house. Shenzhen has started to buy out the bad tails and turn them into adult apartments with financial resources; hangzhou has paid 80,000 for the construction of new houses on the subway; but no city has been told that “we need houses, come and buy them”. It's not a house, it's a “good house for people to live in”。
So don't listen to the "one-line sure rises." two million houses, two-bedrooms in a new ring in shanghai, may reach about 2. 2 million in five years; but those in the middle of the cloud or in the port of port, who are partial, ill-equipped and older, will survive for 1. 45 million and will not sell for six months. It is not a loss to make money when the main city is more or less the same; the average three or four lines, such as a small north-east city, with a 2 million-list district, have only 1. 32 million last year's highest deal, with a minimum of 1. 18 million this year, and the price difference of 820,000 in the middle, not the market, was changed by the owners themselves。
The property tax is not mentioned for the time being, but the cost of holding is rising quietly. Property costs have increased twice in three years, and heating, elevator protection and even district monitoring upgrades are distributed to the owners. The bank now mortgages the old house and assesses it 30 per cent below the bill price, which means that your house says 2 million, and the bank is 1. 4 million. It's not that it's worthless, it's that it's not good at it — it's gone, it's just the words on the wall。
My cousin bought a new $1. 9 million house in eastern zhengzhou last year before turning in. Not because of the price decrease, but because she found that three new disks around the perimeter were being delivered at the same time, that the number of second-hand rooms had tripled, that the tenants were picking up the price, and that she had calculated that the monthly lease was only 2600, that the property was heating up nearly 8,000 a year, that the loan was for 5,200 a month, and that it was folded to 40,000 a year. She stated that it would have been better to rent directly than to keep the down payment on deposit, with interest higher than rent。
And don't believe the phrase "home price increases forever". It's not bricks, it's land, it's ancillary, it's property, it's community hospitals downstairs, it's schools, it's a bus station, it's a five-minute walk. Without that, $2 million is a pile of cement. With these, even if it does not now appear to be rising, at least it can live, rent, change, rather than turn into a piece of paper, a burden, an unclear figure。
I was in the old neighborhood near my home yesterday, and i saw three families hanging their “salvations”, with their keys thrown into the property, and their telephones turned off. One of the houses had a yellow banner on its doors, which had been posted in 2014。
It's still hanging。
