According to numerous data monitoring by pigs, on 25 june 2026, the average price of three foreign pigs was $9. 47/kg, a decrease of $0. 03/kg from yesterday. After the afternoon holidays, the price of pigs fell four times, and the current level has fallen to nearly two months, and the loss of all pig-breeding heads has again increased to $430. 39, with many farming families in financial distress。
However, a key signal in the market has emerged in the recent past: the phase-out of sow prices has been accompanied by a simultaneous decline in prices, a signal that the industry is officially out of production, the pig price cycle is getting closer at the bottom and the point of departure is near
For a long time now, even though the price of the pig has continued to decline, the price of the pig has remained strong, and even in february this year, there has been a small rebound in the national mother-in-law's situation, with the farmer phasing out the inefficient pig while supplementing the high-quality two-in-a-kind pig, all signals reflect the general expectation of higher prices among the breeders, their reluctance to proactively withdraw their capacity, and the slow pace of production in the industry。
The current decline in the elimination of sows and the increase in the elimination of sows in the market suggest that long-term losses have been cut through the psychological defence of the main breeders, whether on a large scale or in the case of the scattered ones, which have begun to focus on the elimination of older, low-yielding and inefficient pigs. Of course, it is also closely linked to official regulatory orientation, where policies require large companies to take the lead in removing weak children, eliminating inefficient pigs, tightening credit lines, increasing loss cycles and accelerating production performance。
In the short term, the elimination of the increase in the concentration of sows into the market will have a small impact on the price of meat, and the grinding will continue for some time. Monitoring data from the ministry of agriculture and rural development show that the national price of pork in the last week was only 19. 72 yuan/kg, a decrease of 21. 75 per cent from the previous year, and that since the spring of 2026, the national price of pork has rebounded slightly for only five long holidays, with a steady decline in the remaining 17 weeks。
However, in terms of cyclical patterns, the drop in the price of a sow has traditionally been a prelude to the bottom line, usually leading three to six months in reverse. The imbalance between supply and demand will continue to be restored as the heaviness of the sow column recedes and the excess supply of the market is gradually digested. In the future, the number of pigs and pigs out of the field will gradually decrease, and the price of the current round will follow。
