Hello, welcome and welcome to small languages. Recently, many people have predicted, based on official and institutional data, that society will be changing in the next two years, with four major changes waiting for us。
The working environment is different from what it used to be, and people who bought a house have changed their minds and their way of consumption has been refurbished, and even the elderly and single youth around them have a little bit of a “new normal”。
The data and policy signals of the current study are repeated: real estate, employment, consumptionPopulation structureThese four will probably be the key stage in our chinese society in the next two years。
How does employment change
The search for work over the years has been “a completely different style” from 10 years ago and 20 years ago. What used to be the most fragrance? The “iron job” “largely made” “building a house” and the off-line business is relatively stable。
This year and next year, many trends are shifting. Employment pressure in the city was felt a few years ago: the total number of jobs is sufficient, but once a year, thousands of college students graduate, they feel the strength of the “squeeze bridge”。
The shrinking of jobs in manufacturing and real estate, which used to be well-known in water lines and traditional construction, is now beginning to change. Instead, services have become a home for employment。
But in the early years of this year, ai and digitalization have begun to accelerate the “job hunt”. The vast majority of these repeat jobs, such as running water lines, financial entry, are being replaced by algorithms and robots。
In turn, positions such as data analysis and new media have gradually emerged. China's policy is also being followed up, with job security and job security, to help flexible workers get old age and medical care。
But high-quality jobs require real skills. Not to mention the “single skills” approach, either walking on multiple legs or combining technology to solve practical problems。
It is even more noteworthy that population ageing is taking its toll and that various types of rehabilitation, care and community care jobs emerge at once. Not necessarily a huge gain, but with a sense of security, everyone has an old man。
How does consumption change
In that year, the question was “buy the new city quickly” and who could write down the new house in the family's new car and how much capital it was? But this year, we've changed our minds, and we don't want to be impulsive。
Resident wallets are still “strained” by factors such as global economic instability. However, the total retail sales for social consumption in the country as a whole are still on the rise, with the focus not on how much to buy, but how much to spend。
More and more people are beginning to expand their consumption patterns, and money is more spent on “physical and emotional pleasures”: like entertainment, health experience, and so on, the heat of consumption in the various service categories is rising, surpassing the growth of “in-kind consumption”。
Now there's a bit of free money, and more people are going to upgrade their homes and buy home smarts for old age and care. Older people need older products, and young people are interested in smart objects, which are becoming increasingly popular in the consumer category。
In view of the new developments this year, the policy has also been proactive: while encouraging wage increases, raising pensions, the residents are willing to spend a little more on their homes
On the other hand, “old for new” purchases are strongly encouraged. Consumption in the service experience category. Instead of being blind “sweety”, residents are more rational and seek experience and sense。
Consumption escalation is no longer based on heavy spending, but rather on a balance between rationality and the need for annexes. The shift from “buy and buy” to “play and use” is the dominant consumption pattern for the current six years。
How does real estate change
A number of middle-aged friends are believed to have a deep sense of the city's “big wind”. The popular days of being held in a selling building, when they were offered a price and given tea and water, were gone。
The signs of a downturn in the industry over the past year are clear: investment in development has shrunk and few new commodity houses have been sold. There are plenty of empty houses in the 2nd and 3rd-line ring, the suburbs and even the county towns, and the house is becoming slower and slower。
Looking to the future, real estate will never return to the “mythical age” of the sky. Under the direction of the government, emphasis has been placed on maintaining stability, on the one hand on preventing a surge in markets and, on the other, on demand。
Regulatory policies are clearly more accurate than in previous years: easing restrictions on purchases, optimizing down payment ratios, encouraging replacements and space flows, and focusing more on real housing needs。
The “buying of the second and third houses by appreciation” and “empty houses for savings” packages are no longer popular. The average man has a practical room, the winner. We'll all be laughing at the story of the firehouse。
The real estate sector has been retreating completely from the “primary force of economic growth” to the role of “satisfying the housing needs of the population”. The most important concern of the many suites is “can we sell easily” and what is just needed is “to live in a comfortable situation”。
This is probably the biggest change we've had after decades of china's real estate exams. The “stable win” years of popular investment have ended, and housing has ultimately been “practical” and the concept of “homeless” has become clearer than ever。
How does the demographic structure change
For many families, older persons are becoming more numerous and young people getting married less, the most visible social “new weather”. In the past two years, the birth rate has not recovered significantly, and the proportion of older persons has risen daily。
The most obvious change in the next two years is the accelerating pace of ageing. The needs of the elderly for old age, health and rehabilitation have become a social need。
This was followed by the rise of the “silver economy”. The demographic dividend has slowed, the youth labour force has grown slowly and the state has adjusted its policies simultaneously. In the past, with reference to the demographic dividend, more emphasis has been placed on the “brain dividend”。
In the workplace, more attention is paid to topics such as training, further education and lifelong learning, making it more difficult to do so with a single skill. The policy will focus on inclusive old-age care, building more community-based old-age centres and promoting the expansion of health care and public services。
Demographic changes also affect the pace of consumption, housing and the economy as a whole. The “single economy” will also quietly become the mainstream, ranging from housing to shopping patterns, one-size-fits-all, highly liberalized, representing the ideas of a new generation of young people。
From this year on, next year, the change is at hand. It is clear to all of us that life can't be disturbed by the day. The most important next step is to keep up with the new trends, learn new skills, look further away and look more closely at the lives of the families around them。
Over the next two years, they will no longer be rich by speculation, by fantasies about soaring housing prices, or by panic and digital waves. “stable, realistic, warm” is the true direction of life。
References:
In 2026, the adjustment of house prices continued and second-hand house prices were now stable
# the north and the south #
