The night before yesterdayUnited states shareIt fell again, by more than 1,400 points, and the current round fell at a new low。
YesterdayUnit aThis was a relative decline, with a drop of 45. 03 points and a drop of 1. 52 per cent for 2923. 49 points and 2. 64 per cent for the entrepreneurship index. At the same time, there has been a contraction of the deal, indicating a persistent low level of human activity in the market。
The current market environment is indeed depressed. The overseas epidemic is serious, while offshore capital markets are also in crisis. Under double pressure, what should a shareholders do? At this time, you might want to hear itBuffetHow so。
Epidemic impact
Markets are worse now, and the major reason is the shock of the epidemic. Although china’s epidemic control has been effective, recent cases abroad have affected everyone。
Not only is it concerned about the rapid success of the new crown virus pneumonia overseas, but it is also concerned about the sustainability of the us stock and the global economy。
One of his friends believed that the united states economy and the global economy could handle it. For, in human history, disease can be defeated and the impact on the economy is short. Now, it is only a matter of time before the retaliatory rebound comes as long as the government provides funding, injects liquidity. The problem with europe and america is now too arrogant, too arrogant, and “negative”. As long as they feel pain, they will appreciate it and will certainly take measures. In contrast, if there were problems with finance, the impact would be greater and longer. The global impact of the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis in the united states, for example, is much greater than the impact of the current sharp fall in united states equity。
The friend's view, whether or not it is ultimately borne out by time, is, at least now, a comfort to dako。
Quaker's watching the city
Yesterday, the american media interviewed buffet. At this point, it's still interesting to let the stock god say something。
Buffet says i said many years ago that as long as you've been in this market, you can see anything. I'm 89 years old and i've never seen anything like it. If the market was traded in real time, it would largely react to news. The stock market is not like real estate, farm, etc. So on march 10, the us stock triggered the melting mechanism, which was the reaction of the market. This is not as scary as 19 october 1987 in any case. New coronary pneumonia and the crude oil market, like a combination of fists, knocked out the market. The crash of october 1987 was “financial panic” and more serious than it is now. As for the collapse in 2008, buffet believes that, so far, it has been much worse than anything that happened this monday. The current market turmoil is not as evident as the panic that spread to money market funds and commercial paper in 2008。
As can be seen, buffet's memory was the most profound collapse, once in october 1987 and again in 2008. So, what happened to the united states stock market after the crash? On 16 october 1987, a single-day decline of 4. 6 per cent was observed; on 17 october, a 22 per cent sharp drop in the domicile was observed, and the collapse of the day made it immortal。
His delegation hoped that there would be some confidence, that there would be psychological preparation and that the bottom of the market would have to be sharpened and that a process would be required。
Sandboarding
We're talking about the impact of this epidemic on the global economyFinancial crisisLittle lethal. So, will this trigger a new global financial crisis
According to the latest opinion, the probability of a new global financial crisis is not high. The trigger for the current fall is the “black swan” event of the epidemic, which is an “external factor” in financial markets. Compared to the 2008 financial crisis, the trigger at that time was more the “internal factor” subprime lending in financial markets, as well as leverage risk. However, csi also believes that the 10-year-old united states cattle market will be set in motion and that global monetary easing will be passively added。
Returning to the a stock market, the trade was relatively light yesterday, and the trade between the two cities returned to more than $800 billion, the lowest date ever. As can be seen, both the overseas epidemic and the performance of overseas markets continue to place greater pressure on unit a. While expectations of a reduction are increasing, it does take time to regain strength。
Warehouse reference
Yesterday: 60%
Today's storage plan: 60%
I. This position is a non-existent reference set in conjunction with the trend study and is not used as a basis for sale and saleInvestmentsRisk。
Ii. The target for this warehouse position is the 300-dimension index in order to achieve quantitative tracking of the index and avoid the impact of the difference in holding stock. Zhang dauda
A real-time query on the new global pneumonia epidemic
