Analysis of recent trends in gold:
On 23 january, the gold message was analyzed: on thursday (22 january), the spot gold price broke the $4,900 mark per ounce for the first time and kept up to date until friday (23 january) at the a. A. A. Breakfast, up to 07:57, touching the high point of $4960. 43 per ounce. This surge not only led to a record high in precious metals such as silver and platinum, but also reflected a strong market reaction to geopolitical uncertainty, the weakening of the dollar, and the fed’s easing policy. As a traditional risk-averse asset, gold has emerged in the current complex international environment and has become the focus of investor popularity。
Looking ahead, the cattle market pattern in the gold market is expected to continue, but it also faces downside risks. Gold is expected to increase to $5,400 per ounce, and, based on the assumption that the private sector will not sell stock and that central banks will continue to buy money, cash gold has increased by nearly 15 per cent from its level at the beginning of 2026, continuing the 64 per cent increase last year. However, if global monetary policy risks decline sharply, leading to a levelling-off of the hedge, the price of gold may be reversed. Geopolitical variables remain key: the unpredictability of trump alerts the eu to the fact that long-term confidence in transatlantic relations, while suspended, may lead to further volatility。
Overall, investors should focus on the federal reserve conference, economic data and progress in arctic deployment. The role of gold in the trend towards de-dollarization has become increasingly prominent as a shield against uncertainty. In this era of geo-storms, gold is not just an investment, but an anchor for global stability. In 2026, the golden city will continue to write the legend of supercow under a combination of multiple factors. In addition, the kremlin indicated that russian president putin had met three united states envoys in moscow late thursday night to hold talks on options to end the russian-ukrainian conflict. The meeting took place after the united states side repeatedly released signals that it was close to reaching an agreement. Investors need to focus。
Technical analysis of gold: the overall price of gold is still in a strong and plethora of trends in terms of technical structure. The dayline level shows that gold prices continue to rise along the uplink, that prices are operating steadily above the medium- and long-term mean system, that trend structures are intact and that no clear inverse signals have emerged. In terms of critical prices, the $5,000 area constitutes the current stage of high psychological resistance and is at the same time a psychological gateway. If prices can effectively break through and stay above the region, gold is expected to further open up and extend to higher targets. Conversely, if short-line kinetic energy declines, the price of the gold may convulsate around high levels and even have a big backlash. On the bottom side of the support, the 4880-4900-dollar zone, which constitutes a critical short-line support belt, is both a platform for an earlier breakthrough and a critical area for multiple defences. If there is a technical reversal, the overall multi-head pattern will remain unchanged as long as prices remain above the zone. The lower support position, which is close to $4,800, corresponds to the lower point of the previous period's sorting area, has greater technical significance and short-lines have no reference location, and if so, it is recommended to operate with a middle-line layout. Taken together, today's gold short-line thinking suggests that it is mostly retrofitted, backed up by a backlash, a short-term focus on 4980-5000 lines of resistance, and a short-term focus on 4930-4910 lines of support。
Recent trend analysis of crude oil:
The crude oil message is deciphered: significant pressure on the international crude oil market during the week. Wti crude oil experienced a small shock on friday's time on the astro disciple, turning around at us$ 59. 70 and returning to the lower 60-dollar integer level, rising stock pressure and the expected easing of the situation in russia and ukraine are the main factors delaying oil prices. At the geopolitical level, president zelensky of ukraine indicated that a tripartite team meeting would be held on friday between the united states, russia and ukraine. The news boosted the market's expectations of a substantial breakthrough in the soviet truce and weakened the geopolitical risk premium that had previously been included in oil prices. On the basic side, the latest data published by the united states energy information agency (eia) show that last week the united states crude oil stock increased by about 3. 6 million barrels, significantly higher than the market had previously expected a decrease of 500,000 barrels. At the same time, petrol stocks increased by about 6 million barrels, recorded an increase for the tenth consecutive week and reached their highest level since 2021。
Technological analysis of crude oil: from the solar scale, oil prices reach the percussion near 54. 80, the price of oil breaks through the system of the average line and creates repeated crossings, with the medium-term objective trend moving into a shock pattern. 60. 50 there was a breakthrough, but continuity remains to be observed, with little probability of a medium-term rise in crude oil and a risk of a return. The crude oil short line (1h) fluctuated within the zone and failed to sustain the upward trend. The price of oil fell around 59 prices. The mcd indicator cuts through a zero-axis position, and the low speed line forms a gold fork, which reduces action, but still dominates. It is expected that the movement of crude oil during the day will fluctuate mainly within regions. Taken together, crude oil is proposed today in its operational thinking to be largely low-strengthed, supported by a rebound, with short-term focus on the 61. 5-62. 5 lines of resistance above and a short-term focus on the 58. 5-57. 5 lines below。
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