Over the years, in the a stock market, i have found that the vast majority of the losses of the dispersed households are never understood, do not read indicators, but rather lost in emotions, rhythms and trade-offs. On fridays, in particular, two kinds of extreme shareholders are always seen: one who looks at a small rebound and goes blind and gambles on the weekends; the other who is caught up in the trap and holds on to the "return next week."。
But many years of a-stock experience have taught us that friday's stock is the most impulsive, heavy-stocked weekends, the invisible pit that is the easiest to step on. Stock a has always had a market pattern for fridays, weekends of policy news, market volatility on the periphery, and a sense of financial risk avoidance, leaving mondays open with uncertainty. Today, in conjunction with the current a stock boom and the hot-spot rhythm, we will talk about the proper business logic of the open house on fridays, the rednecks that new players must avoid, the stable and profitable mentality of ordinary people, and long-line thinking, all of which will be free from all sorts of bullshit and will share only objective market experience, with no blowouts, no predictions, and no surges。
First, understand the current a-shape: under the shock market, the only one who can win is the king. Province
The a unit as a whole has recently maintained a structural shock pattern, with no full-blown bull market and no continuous fall of the bear market, with the core trend being multiple sawing and an acceleration of wheeling. The frequent loss of money by a large number of squatters is due to the tendency to use cattle-market thinking to shock, to catch up, to make good money and to ignore the core rhythm of the current market。
In terms of the overall trend of the large disk, the current overall volatility of the index is limited, the weight plate is protected to the bottom, key support areas are secured, the overall market risk is manageable and there is no risk of a systemic drop. At the same time, however, the market's profit-making effects are highly differentiated: the index does not fall, does not mean that the stock does not fall, does not mean that it is stable and does not mean that the subject matter is divided。
The most obvious feature of unit a now is the “structural pattern”: there are rising plates and flats on a daily basis, as well as persistent collapses and fallbacks. Market funds are no longer equally available, but concentrate on a few hot-spot tracks, with the vast majority of the cold-doored shares having a long run and a small fall, and scattered households being vulnerable to “index losses”。
Especially on friday, the concussion properties of the large disc will be further magnified. Institutional funds, as well as major funding, will be able to launch a “week-end avoidance model”. For professional funding, friday's core operating philosophy is to profit from closure, scalding, locking in profits without a major build-up and heavy layout on the eve of the weekend。
The main funding logic is very simple: stock a is closed for two days on weekends, during which there are too many uncertainties, such as domestic and foreign macro-policy, industry profitability, peripheral stock market movements, and exchange rate fluctuations. Over weekends, the weight share is equivalent to exposing all hold risks to unknown information, and once there is a profit-free weekend, the chance of a direct lock-up on monday is low and no opportunity to stop the damage。
In contrast, most people ignore this core rule, and on friday, when they see a red disk, a partial rebound, they get emotional, they can't help but hold up and pick up the relays, and they're always trying to make the weekend good for the monday opening. Such luckily traded, emotionalized operations are at the heart of the continued losses of the dispersed households。
In the current convulsive environment, the best course of dealing for ordinary people is never to “take advantage of the profit, the silo,” but to lower expectations, control positions and settle bags. This is particularly the case on friday, when the risks of uncertainty are far more important than the uncertain returns of the game, by not rushing to catch up and holding shares, by taking the initiative to lower positions。
Ii. This week's plate hotspot roundup: the wheel is very fast, it's got to keep up
Another key reason for the loss of money for many of the caravans is that they don't understand the rhythm of the plate and follow the wind to the top. The greatest feature of the current a block is that hotspots are extremely persistent, the speed of rotation is faster than expected, and yesterday's skyrocketing plate could be pushed back directly today, with the next day to lower the adjustment。
Market hot spots this week have been concentrated in a few directions, with an overall pattern of “weight-to-weight” and “problems”. New energy, consumption, technology, finance, and so on are the dominant sectors, and none of the tracks can emerge from a continuous wave of power and generalism。
Some of the short-term eruptions were mostly pulsed rises in the news, without sustained inflows and support, and were purely short-term campaigning. Such hot spots, rising and falling faster, have little chance of making a profit from low-inhalation for the rest of the population that is lagging behind, and the entry rate is probably a high-level connection。
Many of the newly dispersed practices are fatal: seeing a plate soar on the day, brushing the screen, buying it with the wind, always thinking that keeping up with hot spots can make money quickly. But the true market pattern is that the hotspot climax is the turning point of disagreement, and the bulk of the world is the best time for the main forces to come in。
The main funds are distributed quietly at the lower floor of the plate, without the knowledge of the dispersed family; the board rises, the heat ferments, and the dispersed family begins to watch; the plate's climax rises, the whole network heats, the dispersed family enters wildly, the main force returns profitably, the goods come out, and then the plate falls directly back and the dispersed family enters, and the dispersed family is caught。
In conjunction with the business tempo on friday, we have a practical board operating principle: no new hot spots on friday, no high-profile items, no hard-to-wind vulnerable stock。
In the case of hot spots that have already benefited this week, priority is given on friday to cutting back and down and locking in hand profits; in the case of high-rise, falling-down plates, do not blindly compensate the warehouse and avoid going deeper; and in the case of long-term vulnerable, run-off cold-lined plates, do not hold back and optimize the warehouse structure in a timely manner。
The core of the shock market is “go in and out and get it”, especially on friday, when all short-line games have a very low value, giving up uncertain games and keeping the principal is the biggest profit。
Iii. Core experience with open-air stock: trading on friday, heavy silos are iron
Over the years, i have come up with an iron law for friday, which is suitable for 90 per cent of the average family members: a shock, no heavyness on friday, a profit-making priority, and a decisive drop-down。
Many dispersed households have an error zone: the perception is that “the more holdouts are held and the more opportunities for earning money”, but in the a stock market, the position control capacity is far more important than the stock selection capacity. There is no control over the warehouse, and even if a good share is chosen, the probability is that the price will be lost because of the volatility and blindness of the warehouse。
Why is it so important that friday must be closed? There are three real and practical market logics at the core, each of which deserves to be borne in mind。
First, the risk of uncertainty over weekends cannot be predicted. The stock market a was closed for two days, and there were breaking news on domestic and foreign markets. Policy adjustments, new industry regulations, the collapse of peripheral markets, exchange rate fluctuations, etc. Any news can have a direct impact on monday's opening. Holding shares over weekends is handing over their principal to luck, and mature investors will never make such meaningless games。
Second, there is a strong willingness to fund the weekends. Institutions, travel capital and capital going north are generally on the move and off on friday, and the overall market is weak. Without the availability of primary funding, individual stock increases are extremely difficult and small fluctuations are prone to divebacks, with a very low tolerance rate for heavy holding。
Third, the largest losses of the dispersed households are due to “hard-load losses”. A lot of people are forced by fridays when they don't want to cut their meat, and they're stuck with the idea of a “reft pack” next week. However, in the stock-a-shock market, the vulnerability ratio is likely to continue to fall, with the loss being greater, the loss being so small that the shallows become deep that they end up at the bottom。
A truly stable profit-making dispersed family would never be able to pursue every wave of love and would not be in constant silos. Their core thinking is very clear: clarity, certainty and participation in small silos; shock, great uncertainty, light viewing, and safety。
On friday, in particular, there is no need to worry whether there will be a lack of opportunity for unit a and patience to keep the principal. There is no loss in taking a walk, and risking a single trip could devour the profits of the month。
Iv. New men must hide from the pits! 90% of the caravan is making low-level mistakes
Instead of being ill-equipped and unskilled, many of the new players in the stock market have stepped on the fatal error zone of the stock market from the outset, creating the wrong trading habits and, on friday, the worst-hit area of the new man. Four high-frequency pits have been sorted out here, and it is important that the newcomers avoid them with determination。
First pit: emotional trading, rushing up friday。
Many of the newcomers work out without logic and with emotion. On fridays, when the plate was turned red and a stock was pulled up, it was instantaneous, afraid of stepping into the sky, regardless of the position, the size of the plate, or the strength of the plate, to follow straight in. This wind operation, which is completely free of wind-controlled thinking, is likely to be bought at a higher point in the day, at a higher level on the weekly line, and is directly covered on monday。
(b) the second pit: carried with it and refused to stop the damage。
The vast majority of the dispersed households are “sold out” and are reluctant to recognize losses and feel that they will not be lost if they are not sold. But the truth about the stock market is that the vulnerability unit will not rebound because of you, and the loss will not disappear because you lie flat. On friday, there was no reduction, no loss, and next week there was probably a sustained reversal of the rate and the losses continued to grow。
Third pit: trades frequently, every day。
Many beginners have “trading addiction” and feel that being in silos is a waste of money and having to buy and sell every day, and on friday they can't help but switch stock and reposition. But in the shock market, little operation, much viewing, is itself profitable. Frequent transactions only result in the constant wear and tearing of fees and the widening of the probability of error, and loss of money as quickly as possible。
The fourth pit: the end of the pit is inverted, the shares are re-elected, the mind is light, the position is light。
The newcomers are obsessed with cattle stocking, learning indicators, catching up, trying to pick up a lot with precision, while completely ignoring warehouse control and mind management. Indeed, the core logic of stock-laying is “seven-point mentality, half-blocking, one-point technology”, which does not control the warehouse, is unstable, and it is difficult to stabilize profits with the best stock-picking techniques。
For all newcomers, friday's best operation is to stop, not pursue, drop, drop. Long-term survival in the stock market is achieved without uncertain transactions and without taking the risks that are not necessary and slowly developing a robust trading habit。
V. The business course: sustaining investment perspectives, between access
At the end of the day, it was never about technology and information, but rather about mentality and awareness. The same patterns, the same shares, the profits and losses of people, the core gaps are different mentalities。
The biggest enemy of the stock market is never market volatility, but its greed and fear. There has been an increase in activity, greed, the desire to earn more, the desire not to stop, the return of profit, the loss of profit, the loss of profit, the spread of fear, fear, the cutting of flesh, the laying down of low ground, or the risk of death。
Especially on friday, the most important test of the diaspora mentality. Many people look at other people for profit, they wait and watch, they panic and operate with the wind; their own small loss breaks their mind, blindly makes up for the storage, heavy storage costs, and eventually gets deeper and deeper。
Here, we share three long-used investment mindsets with all the occupants to help rid you of emotional transactions:
First, to accept “incompetence”, to accept groundbreaking, to accept small losses。
The stock market does not have a 100% profit-making business, and no one can eat up and down. A one-time run-off, a small loss, is a normal investment. Don ' t be anxious to get down on foot, and not be impatient with small losses, with trade-offs and imperfect acceptance, to go further。
Secondly, to abandon the idea of “richness” and stop fast money。
The source of most of the bulk losses is the tendency to rely on the stock market for short periods of time, double it every week and double it every month. But stock market a, fast money is a trap, slow money is the truth. A first step towards stabilizing profits is to recover and to accumulate much less, far more than short-term windfalls, and to stop the spiral of wealth。
Thirdly, keep the fear of god and always fear the market。
No matter how many years and how many times we make, we cannot be proud. Markets are always right, never confrontation with trends, and not with market bets. In order to avoid the vast majority of risks, it is easy to get involved, to wait for rest, to follow suit and to fear the market。
Vi. Long-term investment logic: ordinary people are more important than fast
Many have been obsessed with short-line games, followed by rising and falling, ending in chronic losses and physical and psychological fatigue, while neglecting the a share's most profitable way: long-line sound investment。
Short-line deals involve reaction, information, luck, enforcement. Ordinary people have no professional team, no real-time information, no mature trading system, no running away from institutions and money. Long-term short-line probabilities are the end of losses。
Long-line investment, in the name of awareness, patience and logic, is better suited to the general diaspora. The core logic of long-term investments is not to be stymied and blindly held; rather, to select high-quality tracks, to exercise reasonable control over positions, to ignore short-term fluctuations and to hold core values。
Over the long term, structural opportunities persist, with high-quality industries, core assets and long-term shocks. Short-term friday fluctuations, twilight reversals and plate disagreements are normal market dishwashing adjustments that do not change long-term trends。
The long line of thought that really works for ordinary people is very simple:
It avoids high-profile, low-performing, low-mobility cold-door units; high-quality targets that focus on stable fundamentals, high industry climates and steady growth in performance; and low-intensity layouts, patience and short-term rises and fall-backs that do not often follow。
At the same time, it is important to remember that the long line is not a loss, not a loss, but a loss. In the event of a deterioration in the fundamentals of the stock and a change in industry logic, it is necessary to stop the loss and departure in a timely manner, regardless of long-term and short-term lines. The nature of long-term investments is to hold value, not losses。
In the convulsion market, we have to learn to “short-line risk management, long-line value keeping”. Friday's retreat is to keep current profits and principals safe; long-term robust layout is to take advantage of the long-term certainty of the market and maintain control, which is the right way to invest。
In sum, friday's a share market, impulses are the largest source of losses and robustness is the most profitable way to profit. The first thing for a large-discussed, plate-wheeling, fund-scrambling crowd is not to try to turn over, make a good game, but to take the initiative to reduce the position, lock profits and avoid the risk of uncertainty on weekends。
For many years, i have been convinced that it is not the precision that counts up, but rather the lack of mistakes, risk management and stability that the diaspora wants to live and make money in unit a in the long term. To stop friday's emotional impulses, to abandon the urge to play heavy games, to develop a trade habit that is safe and market-awesome, and to accumulate slowly in order to recover steadily in the stock market。
