Over half of the city in 2026, the whole network debated a central issue: has the house price reached its bottom
The time has come for the city to be warmed up and bottom-up, and for the owners of the three or four-line houses to fall every year and the house to hang for six months。
Many ordinary people are also living in the belief that the city is either booming or falling. But the latest official data and real market practices break everyone's illusions
In 2026, there was no full-scale backlash in the city, only a polarization! The core of the first line is quietly warming, the city of the second line is cold and hot, and the three and four lines continue to fall. The era of money-making can be completely over with closed eyes
The most real situation is the structural construction of the bottom floor, which is two times the ice. The second-hand house, which is the most authentic market barometer without marketing, is a trade in real money and silver that has long exposed the market。
Currently, the core cities are showing clear bottom signals. Second-hand houses in the first-line cities increased by 0. 4 per cent in april, new houses went up slightly in parallel, the core areas of beijing west city, shanghai, shenzhen, etc. Were the first to warm up, and the prices of high-quality subsectors rose steadily. Between january and may, there was a 20 per cent increase in the number of second-hand houses in 76 priority cities throughout the country, and the panic of the owners of the kyochi hotspots receded and market confidence returned rapidly. At the same time, the decline in the price of 70 urban houses has continued to shrink, the number of cities with higher prices is increasing and the market for the head building has moved out of the adjustment valley。
But this recovery dividend has nothing to do with the vast majority of cities. When the downstairs city was clearly divided into three ladders, the gap was very different。
The first is a first-line and second-line core, with a steady recovery. The price of second-hand houses in shenzhen increased by more than 8 per cent in comparison to the same year, and the price of the shanghai-based circumference house was strong. The central parts of the main towns, such as chengdu, nanjing drum and hangzhou riang, were filled with high-quality schools, mature industries and fine packages, with anti-fall properties and hard currency in the building。
The second is the general second and second-line peri-urban areas, which have collapsed across the board. Urban housing prices in zhengzhou, tianjin, aoshima and other cities continue to spread across the years, with small declines of 1 to 2 per cent per year, and the general housing stock in the non-cooperative and non-school areas is largely defunct. The peri-urban blocks in hot cities such as suzhou and hangzhou have fallen by as much as 3 to 5 per cent annually, with no prospect of appreciation and difficulties in changing hands。
The third is the 3rd and 4th-line cities and out-migration districts, where the fall has not stopped. The average price of such urban houses is only 5,000 years old, with annual drops of 3 to 5 per cent, especially in hard-hit areas, with a drop of more than 8 per cent, with 70 urban used rooms falling for 49 months, and small urban buildings falling far from the end。
Many people are looking forward to the city being flooded and fully rescued, which is no longer realistic today. In 2026, the city policy went a long way towards saving the city and moving towards precision and stability. The central government has invested hundreds of billions of dollars in guaranteed housing and re-loans, and more than 70 cities and cities have entered the country to collect and repossess only core high-quality assets and secure just-needed housing。
The logic of regulation is clear: the first line of moderate heat control, the second line is loose, and the third and fourth line is stable. On several occasions, the authorities have made it clear that the boom in the monetization of the sheds will not be repeated, that the demolition of the houses will be firmly eliminated, that it will become the long-term tone, and that the overall generalization will be completely historic。
There is a long-standing consensus among industry experts that 2026 will be the structural bottom of the mayor's cycle and that there will be no v-type rebound. In the coming year, the core of the first line is slowly rising, the main city of the second line is stable and the three and four lines continue to fall. After 1-2 years, the core city's high-quality housing supply will be warm and slow, while the lack of population, industry and supporting properties will only continue to devalue。
Based on the current split, it is clear that the purchase of a shelter and the preferred logic are clear. Firmly and prudently buying three-and-four-line county buildings, new needs on the outskirts of large cities and the lack of school-free areas, such houses are extremely poorly mobile and will only shrink in the future. It is a good asset to cross the market cycle。
In 2026, the building market gave the most profound lesson to all buyers: it had long since set aside the general dividend and entered a very polarized stock age。
The so-called bottom-up house price is the exclusive benefit of a few core cities, quality plates, and is by no means an overall warming in the national building market. The future property is no longer a value added property, but rather a human commodity that is extremely challenging the choice。
Disappear the fantasy of firehouse richDivision of buildingsThe truth is that the choice of cities, the choice of areas and the choice of sources of housing is the priority in order to preserve family assets and avoid the purchase of houses and pits
