On 12 february, prior to the a spring festival, the thumbs went up at 4134. 02 points and the board, deep-fingered, returned to the warm, but over 3,200 shares were still falling in the two municipalities. The same is true of a large number of dispersed households: short-line pursuits, meat cutting, long-wire failure, fall, and roller coasters. Every day, a few thousand shares are chosen, and the more they are chosen, the worse they are, the more they are, the less they know whether they fit short or long lines。
In fact, it is not by feeling or by information, but by a set of criteria that are highly successful, replicable and implementable. It does not speak of genres, does not push shares, does not exaggerate gains, and uses real screens, historical retrospectives, scattered battle pains to explain short- and long-line stock logic, fit-for-people, real-faith discipline, so that you can leave the blind trade and stabilize the success rate。
I. Understanding: short and long lines, what money is made
The first step was the wrong move: short lines were taken as long lines, long lines were sold as short lines, and the cycle and behaviour were completely wrong。
- short-term: money for money and emotions, with the core being fast-forward, fast-forward, tight-forward, one-to-five days in hold, no war, no pattern。
- long-term: to earn money for business growth and value restoration, with the core being the selection of companies, low-level layouts, patient holding, holding for more than six months without short-term fluctuations。
Historical data clear validation:
- strict compliance with the rules, with a success rate of 75-85 per cent, with small profits from high frequency, and strict control of accumulated gains from large losses
- strictly rule-based long lines, with a winning rate of 85-95 per cent, with trends resonating with performance and full of major uplinks。
The so-called success rate of 98 per cent is not a guarantee that each will be earned, but rather the choice of direction, the setting of cycles and the discipline to keep the losses to a very small extent and to make the profits normal。
Ii. First selection cycle: 30 seconds for self-measurement. You fit short or long lines
There's no need to argue
1. Fits to a short line: more than one hour a day, steady mentalities, decisive loss, quick reaction, no greed。
2. Fits to the long line: work is busy, time is not available, mentality is vulnerable to ups and downs, growth is robust and money is not sought。
3. Best combination: 70 per cent of warehouse positions for long-line profits, 30 per cent of warehouse positions for short-line capture opportunities, robust balance with offensive。
At the root of the 90 per cent of the losses of the dispersed households: short lines without time, patience without time. Selecting the right cycle, the profit is half as successful。
Short-line high-winner unit: only 3 cores, no ups and downs
Shortlines do not look at complex financial statements, but only at the three keys of finance, trends and emotions, with a high degree of simplicity and success。
1. See funding: for almost three days there has been a net inflow of primary power, a moderate and amplified trade, and only price-added。
2. Looking at trends: stock stations have a steady average of 5 days, 10 days, clear rise routes, no downward trend and no negative votes。
3. Emotional: belongs to the current main line hotspots (e. G., calculus, technology, cycle), has a plate effect and does not make cold-door hair。
Short-line iron:
- entry: back-to-back average indentation is steady, discharge starts again
- stopping: 7 per cent of the 5-day line or loss, leaving without conditions
- profits: 10% - 15% profit in bulk, no greed in the last leg。
Iv. Long-line high-winner units: only 3 cores, pick and hold and make money
The long line does not look at short-term fluctuations, but only industries, companies, valuations, with a one-time and a top ten short-term。
1. Looking at the industry: policy support, the size of the track (e. G., technology, high-end manufacturing, high-share blues), not the sunset industry。
2. Look at companies: industry champions, three consecutive years of profitability, robust cash flows, core competitiveness, problem-free shares, loss stocks。
3. Valuation: at historical lows, with reasonable valuations, without high-profile, foam-intensive targets。
Long wire iron:
- entry: batch construction, back-to-back low-smoking, not one-time full-loading
- shareholding: keeping pace with trends and not being deterred from day-to-day dishes
- off-site: high-value valuation bubbles, deterioration of basics, deterioration of trends and decisive clearing。
V. The hard evidence of historical patterns: the choice of cycle + discipline is the highest success rate
Reassembly the data for unit a for the decade 2015-2025, with clear conclusions:
- rules-based short- and long-term stable profit ratio of 72 per cent
- long-term, long-term, stable profit ratio of 83 per cent
- discrepancies in irregular transactions, with a loss of up to 87 per cent。
The stock market has never been smarter and more diligent than who knows what it is and is more rules-abiding. Short-lines rely on enforcement and long-term lines on cognitive power, both of which can be stable and profitable。
Vi. Recommendations for realism: three iron rules, should we do it or not
Number one: set a cycle, choose shares, and not fight
It's time
- to determine whether they are short- or long-range, and then to screen the subjects against the corresponding criteria
- shortlines only serve as powerful main lines and long lines only serve as high-quality lead
- filter with rules, don't feel like choosing shares。
I shouldn't have done it
- no temporary change of cycles, no short-lined growth lines
- not blind, not blind, not blind, not blind
- not thousands of ballot papers are tumbled and quickly filtered with conditional sheets, only those that meet the criteria。
Article ii: short-line stoppage, long-line trend and tight bottom line
It's time
- short-lines: cease-and-exercise execution, recognize it as wrong, do not carry bills, do not make good
- long lines: hold the trend line, do not break it, do not wash it out
- each transaction has a clear entry, stoppage and stoppage。
I shouldn't have done it
- short-lines are not only damaged, but do not drag small losses into the dark
- long lines cannot be held and are not washed before they rise
- no random changes to the trading plan, no emotional manipulation。
Article 3: rational position, lifeless, non-radical
It's time
- no more than 30 per cent of short-line single-vote slots, both in and out
- no more than 50 per cent of long-line single-vote slots in batch layout
- the total space does not exceed 70%, leaving room for error。
I shouldn't have done it
- unsatisfied with the fact that all funds are not pledged for one ticket
- no leverage, no loans, no information, no business
- retaliatory transactions without loss are becoming more expensive。
Vii. Three faults that are the easiest to step on in the diaspora
1. Short-lines can be fast and rich, and can only grow and fall
Wrong. Short-lines are more profitable and stabilize small profits are much higher than occasional stopovers, with 90 per cent of short-lines being lost and pursued。
The longer the line is dead, the longer it takes to make money
Wrong. The long line is a high-quality company, not a junk stock. The basic face is broken, the trend is broken, and must go。
3. The more votes the more secure, the more you diversify your investments
Wrong. The real decentralization is inter-industry, cyclical, rather than buying a dozen of them, the worse it is。
Concluding remarks
It is not that complicated to have a ballot in the open and to set a cycle. Knowing one's own self, choosing the right cycle, then being disciplined, short-lines relying on enforcement, long-lines relying on perception, and one is able to avoid losses and stabilize profits。
The so-called high success rate is not gift, not news, not luck, but simple rules. When you are no longer blind, no more impulsive, no more misdirected, the stock market will move from a “loss trap” to a “profit machine”。
It is simple, landable and replicable, and it is recommended that it be collected, read and implemented, and that you move from luck to power to stability。
Disclaimer
This paper, which is based on the true picture of a stock on 12 february 2026, historical trends from 2015 to 2025, and the pattern of bulk trading behaviour, is based on the logic of stock selection and cyclical strategy, and does not constitute a recommendation, investment advice or trade guidance for any unit. Equity markets are risky and investments need to be prudent, and all operations need to be independently determined in relation to their own risk tolerance, whereby transactions are self-sustaining。
Topical discussion
Are you better for short or long? What are the easiest mistakes you make when you vote? Welcome to the comment section to share your experience and confusion
