Compliance with room price projections for 2018
To predict compliance in 2018, we will have to review the basics of compliance in 2017. In early 2017, the compliance rate was around 4500, and by the end of november 2017 the average price was around 5,000。
According to data published by the municipal directorate of housing and urban and rural construction, as of november 2017, 35,396 new commodity houses were traded in the main urban areas of compliance (including red granite posts, kosumikawa, xinpu xinhua, the southern new zone, and the tungzhou region), with a commercial area of 3. 599 million?, with a commercial value of rmb 17. 06 billion. Of these, 26736 units, with an area (building) of 29,934,000?, with a value of 13,477 million yuan and an average value of 4502 yuan?; 5348 units, with an area (building) of 29,055,000?, with a value of 3. 29 billion yuan and an average price of 11325 yuan?; 3312 units, with an area (building) of 226,000?, with a value of 838 million yuan and an average price of 377 yuan
On the basis of the above average offer, the price is acceptable, but what is the reason why it cannot be bought by the real estate department? Because this figure is the average price for the whole of the main urban area of compliance, the prices in the suburbs, especially in the cantons and xinhua, have lowered the average price significantly, and the lag in the statistics has resulted in much higher prices。
Then let's analyze the reasons for the increase in the price of the house。
Capital transfers
In the central and eastern regions, market competitiveness is increasing in all sectors owing to relatively high levels of development. Market competition has gradually become capital competition。
In addition, human and sinking costs are high in the central and eastern regions, and the environment for the survival of small and medium-sized enterprises is very worrying。
In this context, many smes have shifted their attention to the western regions, where the population base is larger and competitive。
Of these, one municipality in the three south-west is ranked fifth in the urban GDP line。
In addition, compliance with the policy of the old revolutionary district, combined with a permanent population of 6 million, has surpassed many provincial capitals. Compliance is bound to be one of the preferred places for sme capital transfers。
As capital transfers lead to economic development, they lead to higher land prices and higher home prices。
It's the heat
In 2017, the average price of the beijing 5-round new disk was over $90,000。
The rise in house prices has had a huge impact on young people who intend to stay in the first-line cities, and the call to “leave the north” has begun to appear online。
And at this time, because of capital transfers, the economy of compliance is just as flourishing, and it is precisely when there is a lack of talent that young people who remain in the cities of the first and second line are bound to return to their homes in large numbers。
In this trend, the demand for real estate will increase and the price will naturally rise。
To sum up, it is not an accident that the house price rises in compliance, and there is no suspicion of propaganda, and this will be an ongoing real estate boom, which is now only the beginning. According to this situation, there is little chance of falling the price of homes in compliance in 2018, and next year there will be a slow increase。
