Despite the collective opposition of the power generation system, the price of internet access will eventually decrease as scheduled。
On 6 august, journalists were informed by sources close to the national commission for development and development that the policy of lowering internet prices had been finalized, at a rate of about 0. 01 kwh, with variations across regions, and that the timing of the reduction had not yet been finalized. At the same time, the same source informed journalists that the price reduction on the internet was mainly affected by the recent decline in coal prices, and that coal-connected mechanisms were the main factor in the price adjustment。
“the reduction of $0. 01 has not affected the electricity system significantly for the time being, after all, the time remaining for this year. For each of the five major power groups, the loss will be roughly one billion in the second half of the year.” an expert from the five power groups told journalists。
Coal prices fell by over 5%
“despite a period of discussion, although the electricity sector was not in favour of lower internet prices because of the loss of electricity from the fire, the lower price of electricity has largely been determined because of the recent fall in coal prices.” henan, a power company, told journalists。
As previously reported by the media, it has been confirmed to the outside world that the national commission for development and development (cnrde) has begun discussions with electricity companies about the down pricing of the internet. The coal-fired mechanism was an important reason for this adjustment, although details of the magnitude of the adjustment were not disclosed。
The new cost-linking scheme for coal electricity, introduced in our country at the beginning of 2013, uses a 5 per cent change in coal prices as a trigger for electricity price increases. Since the end of 2011, coal prices have fallen from peaks to 500 yuan per ton in the most recent term, and coal interconnections, as a mechanism for price changes for electricity, have moved far beyond trigger conditions。
On 23 july, the sea powered coal price index, published by the maritime coal network index centre, showed that the current period (16 july to 22 july) was 5,500 large carats of coal combined averaged a price of $498 per ton, a drop of 8 yuan per ton in the roundabout ratio, a drop of 500 dollars in the sea powered coal price ton of coal, which was the lowest recorded since its launch on 13 october 2010, and a record decline of eight consecutive weeks。
The coal industry analyst lee hak just noted, on the one hand, that after the month of july, despite the summer peak in electricity and coal consumption, electricity production and consumption were still low in the early part of the month, and that the high stock of electricity and coal and the lack of motivation to purchase had frustrated expectations of a “clementary meal” in the power coal market this summer; on the other hand, despite the many price reductions in major coal-producing conglomerates since late june, the continued high level of coal stocks in the main port of circulation in the ring has kept the pressure on the major coal companies, and the “predictation” of continuing price reductions has not only increased the market's “pessimism” about price trends, inhibited procurement demand and directly suppressed coal-trading prices。
“the sharp fall in coal prices in the previous period, which had already exceeded the volatility of coal-fired power, has also contributed directly to the downward adjustment in electricity prices.” an expert from the five major power generation groups told journalists。
The expert told journalists that if the price of electricity had fallen by an average of 0. 01 dollars, the impact on the electricity system would not be significant for the time being, as more than half of the year had passed. For each of the five major power generating groups, the loss would be roughly one billion dollars。
The overall easing of electricity and coal supply since 2013 has been accompanied by falling prices, but the situation in the electricity enterprise is equally poor. According to the data of the central itu, the losses of electricity from the fire reached around 20 per cent in 2013, especially for heating plates, which lost $5. 3 billion in 2013, 70 per cent, and another $2 billion in the first quarter of the year。
Space coal industry
The fall in coal prices has directly led to a downward adjustment in electricity prices, which in turn would greatly benefit the coal industry。
The chinese information analyst, guan dao, told reporters that the price of coal was in the range of $20-25 per ton at a downward rate of 1-2 points. This is a huge profit for the coal market, which is now low. Current consumption of coal from downstream power plants has recovered slightly due to peaking summer factors, and plant stocks have fallen back, but stocks are higher than the 15-day safety line, so the incentive to purchase power plants is not strong, as does the control of coal production, and industrial power use is limited, while imports and active production restrictions by large coal companies are not clear, so the pattern of short-term oversupply will not be fundamentally reversed and coal prices are difficult to rebound。
“there is no upward trend in coal prices, and in the buyer's market pattern, there is a marked increase in the voice of the power plant, and the pressure power plant resulting from the downward adjustment in electricity prices is bound to shift to coal companies by pressing down coal prices. However, coal prices remain the main concern of power plants, whose pressure on coal prices does not vary significantly as a result of the adjustment of electricity prices, so it is impossible to shift pressure altogether in the short term, and the short-term rapid downswing of coal prices is also not expected to be strong。
With a view to recovering the decline in coal prices, in august the country's major coal companies introduced a new coal price policy to save the market. According to information published on 1 august by the chinese god-hwa (15. 76, -0. 09, -0. 57 per cent), the price of each card-powered coal rose by 4 yuan per ton this time over the july settlement price, the first time since may。
In addition to price stabilization, a production-limit scheme has recently been introduced in the province of shinawatra and china coal. Wang kim li, deputy general manager of the shinhua group and chairman of the shinhua marketing group, recently announced that he would reduce production by 50 million tons and sales by 60 million tons throughout the year。
After falling coal prices in the previous period, it is estimated that coal will run out of revenue for the entire industry, that coal storage will begin in the winter, that water and electricity will decline, and that the price of coal will rebound in the fourth quarter, and that the price of coal will be further supported if the price of insurance is limited and import restrictions are restricted。
Coal-fired power generation will remain the mainstream
Coal-fired power generation will remain the dominant future in terms of the country's current energy structure, despite the relatively low production and consumption of coal and declining prices。
In the view of the above-mentioned electricity experts, this downward adjustment does not mean that the price of electricity in our country is high. In the long run, the price of electricity should be in an upward cycle, because, subject to domestic resource constraints, we will also be in a position to be dominated by coal in the coming period, and gas generation will be used only to meet peak demand。
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“my country has achieved the highest average level of coal consumption in the world in terms of average coal power development throughout the country, and in terms of pollution control, emissions such as dust and dust per kilowatt have reached the world's advanced level, and coal-fired electricity is economically good, and emission standards are now high and will not be replaced in the short term.” the expert noted that gas generation was constrained by high-priced natural gas, with limited development prospects。
Wang zhijun, secretary-general of the chinese federation of electricity enterprises, also stated in the “summer 2014 national coal fair and north-east asian coal fair” that priority should be given first to the development of hydropower, followed by the optimal development of coal power, the active development of renewable energy sources such as wind power and an attempt to develop natural gas power generation. To accelerate the transfer of coal to the north-west, nuclear power from the coast to inland radiation, and the main distribution of natural gas power, the demand centre for electricity. “the future of green and clean energy generation will accelerate further, especially if coal and green electricity will remain on the ground in the long term. Without china’s green development of coal, there can be no green development of china’s electricity and energy, and to solve china’s environmental and energy problems, green development of coal, particularly increasing the share of coal converted into electricity, is also necessary。
Responsible editor: zhang dei
[whispering information cellular client downloading]
