Have you ever had that experience? Watching the screen all day, the k-line beats like an electrocardiogram. After listening to the analysis of the so-called great god, he was tricked into buying it and stomping on it; it was hard to find a seemingly powerful stock, and then he fell back, and it was half a year before he could sell it。
"how can it be so hard to get out of stock?" the indicators look at a lot, and the mcd, kdj, and rsi turn back and forth, the more confused the story, the better it is, the better it is, the better it is, the better it is, the better it is, the better it is. "it's like driving, you don't have to read every part of the engine, you just hold the steering wheel and see the way ahead, and you can get there. And the "directorship" in the stock market was actually ignored by a lot of people -- the average slope。
If you don't believe me, i know an old stockholder, uncle zhang, who has a high level of primary school education, who doesn't know any complex indicators, and who has made a steady profit in the stock market for more than a decade by using the simple method of "average slope". At the start of the ai situation in 2023, he judged the trend to be strong on the average slope, holding the relevant plates and earning 60 per cent in three months; in 2024, when the market returned, he saw the slope turning downwards and the decisive airlock retreated, avoiding two major swings. In his words, "the trends are good, the slopes are good, and the indicators of the glitch are the tops and the mean slopes are the key to survival."
The central problem for many of the bulky households to be cut is that they do not understand trends and view short-term fluctuations as long-term trends and rebound as reverses. And the mean slope is the most direct and effective "ghost mirror" to judge trends. Today, i'm tearing this whole street to the ground, and i'm going to use the big white word and the real case, so you can read it and you're not lost。
I. Don't be fooled by complex indicators! What is the mean slope
And one might ask, "i know, what's the slope? Is it a complicated mathematical knowledge?" and it's nothing to be afraid of, it's the "slash angle" of the line, and it's all about whether it's up, down or across。
We have a basic common sense: the average that is commonly used is 5 days (short-term trends), 10 days (medium-term trends), 20 days (medium-term trends) and 60 days (long-term trends). The central function of the line is "to smooth price fluctuations, reflecting trend direction", while the slope is the "quantitative criterion" of a weak trend。
By way of example, the five-day mean line tilts 30 degrees upwards, like a slow uphill and mild trend; 60 degrees upward, like a 100-metre punch, with a strong trend; 45 degrees downward, like a roller-down ball, with a weak trend; and zero degrees across the average line, with no clear trend。
When uncle zhang started selling shares, he was as obsessed with studying indicators as we were, often staying up late to see the analysis, and the results got more messy and lost a lot of money a year. Then he met an old retired manipulator, who told him, "all indicators are derivatives of prices, the average is the closest to the essence of the trend, and the slope is the soul of the median. If you read the slope, you'll be able to capture the lifeline of the trend."
Since then, uncle zhang has focused on the median slopes, which he has found: when the average slope is positive and steeper, it shows that the buying drive is growing stronger and the trend is growing stronger; when the slopes are positive but slowing, they indicate that the upward momentum is insufficient and the trend is likely to reverse; when the slopes are negative and steeper, they indicate that the sales are gushing and the trend is weakening; and when the slopes are negative but they are slowing down, they indicate that the downward kinetic failure is likely to reverse。
And here's to remind you of a mistake: a lot of the occupant will mix the "direction" and "slash" of the line. For example, the average is strong up, and weak down? Actually not. It is also an upward mean, with a differential strength of 10 degrees and 60 degrees. The median slope of 10 degrees, like the old lady's walk, is slow, has weak power and can turn around at any time, while the median slope of 60 degrees, like the young man's running, is high, fast and stable。
Ii. 3 operational techniques, which judge trends against average slopes (at first glance)
How do you judge trends with an average slope in a real battle just knowing that theory is not working? Taking into account my years of experience and uncle zhang's case of combat, i have summarized three simple and understandable techniques that you can apply directly。
Sight 1: look at the slope size and judge the strength of the trend
The size of the slope directly reflects the strength and weakness of the trend, which is the core criterion of judgement. We can base our general judgement on a simple approach: using the k-line grid as a reference, the average five-day line rises by more than three cells in five trading days, with a slope of about 45 degrees, which is a strong trend; increases by one to two cells, with a slope of between 15 and 30 degrees, which is a mild trend; and increases in five trading days by less than one grid, or even a crossboard, indicating that the trend is weak and of little operational value。
In october 2023, uncle zhang focused on a semiconductor unit, where the five-day average was approximately 50 degrees and the 10-day average and the 20-day average were also above 40 degrees, creating a pattern of "multiheading + synchronizing the slope up". He bought it with determination, then the stock went up along the 5-day average and the slope remained above 30 degrees, and he held it for over a month, earning 40 per cent. Until one day, the five-day mean slope suddenly slowed to below 10 degrees, and he sold it decisively, after which the stock returned。
Conversely, if the 5-day average of a stock is down by more than 45 degrees, this indicates a strong downward trend, which should not be followed down. I had a fan who saw a stock falling down in a row, and a five-day average slope down 60 degrees, and felt it had fallen to the bottom, and then the stock continued to fall, and he was placed 20 per cent. Remember: the steep slopes in the downward trend, like the floods down the mountain, are never going to stop them。
-technology 2: watch the slope changes and capture trend inverted signals
Trends are not static, and when the slopes change significantly, they are often signs of reversal. The focus here is on two key nodes: the slope is steep, the slope is positive (or negative)。
When a stock is on an upward trend, the average slope has remained at more than 30 degrees, and suddenly the slope has slowed to below 15 degrees in a few days, or even began to cross the wheel, indicating a lack of momentum for the increase and a possible reversal of the trend. It is time to be vigilant and to reduce or clear in a timely manner. For example, in march 2024, after a continuous rise in a new energy unit, the average slope of the 5-day line gradually dropped from 45 degrees to 10 degrees, after which the average line began to turn down and the slope was positive and negative, which was the clear sign of sale。
Similarly, when a stock is on a downward trend, the mean slope has been down, and suddenly the slope has slowed, and it has even begun to rise upwards, suggesting that the decline in kinetic energy failure may have to rebound. At this point, a small silo test can be conducted and the silo can be considered after the slope has been reversed clearly and beyond 15 degrees. This was how uncle zhang seized the opportunity of rebounding a consumption stock in april 2022, when the 60-day average of the stock gradually slowed from -30 degrees to 5 degrees, and then began to turn up, buying a small warehouse position and earning 25 per cent after rebounding。
Here's a detail: looking at the slopes of a single line alone might be an error, preferably in combination with multiple lines. For example, the 5-day mean slope has slowed, but the 10-day and 20-day average has remained upwards, indicating only a short-term adjustment and that the trend has not reversed; if the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day mean slopes are slowing down at the same time, and even starting to go down, the probability of a reversal is high。
Skills 3: an average slope across cycles to filter false signals
One of the most vulnerable mistakes of the diaspora is to look at short-term averages and be misled by false signals. In fact, average slopes vary from cycle to cycle, with short-term averages reflecting short-term trends and long-term averages reflecting long-term trends, and signals are more reliable when multi-cycle averages produce a resonance。
We can divide the mean slopes of the different cycles into three scenarios:
1. The upper, medium-term and long-term mean slopes, all upwards and above 15 degrees, are the strongest multiple signals of a positive short-, medium- and long-term trend, which can be held boldly at this time and do not get out easily
2. Short-term mean slope down, but medium-term and long-term mean slopes remain upwards, indicating only short-term reversals and no change in long-term trends, allowing for low silos or holding
3. The short-, medium- and long-term average slopes are down, and this is the strongest empty signal that the trend has completely gone bad, at a time when it has to be decisive and free from any illusions。
My former colleague, who had bought an ai stock in november 2023, had a five-day mean slope up, but the 10-20-day average was still down, and then the stock went up two days later, and he was set up with 10 per cent. This is typically a combination of multiple-cyclical slopes that are misled by short-term false signals。
During his operation, uncle chang insisted on "long-term averages, short-term averages, shopping." for example, when he bought a semiconductor unit in 2023, not only did the average daily slopes of 5 and 10 days go up, but the average of 60 days was already positive from negative to multi-cycle resonance, so the success rate was high。
Iii. Four average slope error zones (many of them planted) to be avoided
Although the average slope method is simple, many dispersed households make mistakes in its use, and i sum up four of the most common error zones, which you must avoid。
Error 1: look only at the slope, not at the average position
Some had seen the 5-day mean slope up, but had not noticed that the stock price was already well above the 60-day average and high. At this time, although the short-term slope is upwards, the long-term trend may have deteriorated and could easily be bought at the top of the mountain。
Remember: the average slope should be seen in relation to the position of the average, where the stock price is above the long-term average and the slope above is the strong signal; the stock price below the long-term average, even if it is on a short-term one, may be a rebound, not blindly pursued。
Wrong 2: the steeper the slope, the better
The steeper the average slope, the stronger the trend, the more worth buying. In fact, the steep rise in slopes (e. G., over 60 degrees) is like a 100-metre sprint, which cannot last long, often short-term, and is very intense。
Uncle zhang never bought stocks with a slope above 60 degrees, and he said, "it's too steep a share, like a decorated mustang, running fast, but it's hard to control, and it's bad to fall when it turns. " the real strong trend is a steady rise in slopes between 30 and 45 degrees, which is more stable and sustained。
Mistake 3: neglect the continuity of slopes
Some of the bulky households saw the average slopes suddenly up and bought them, resulting in a fast slowing of the slopes and a reversal of the trend, which was placed at a high level. In fact, the continuity of the slope is more important than the size of the slope, and the average slope of a stock is maintained upwards by three to five trading days, more reliable than the signal of a sudden up-date。
For example, one stock was still running across the average a few days ago, and suddenly one day it went up, and the five-day average slashed to more than 45 degrees. However, this share tends to begin to reverse the next day, with a rapidly slowing slope, a typical short-term pulse, not a real reversal of the trend。
Error 4: all trends are judged using a single cycle average
Different operating periods, with a different mean slope. Short-line operations look at average slopes of 5 and 10 days, medium operations look at average slopes of 20 and 60 days and long-line operations look at average slopes of 120 and 250 days。
Many have used the 5-day mean slope to judge long-line trends, the results of which were misled by short-term fluctuations, or the 60-day mean slope to judge short-line trends, missing the best selling point. For example, short-line friends should focus on the change in the five-day average slope, which should be sold in time as long as it slows or goes down; long-line friends should focus on the 60-day average slope, which can be held in the long term as long as it remains upwards。
Iv. Avenues to jane: stockwork to the end, mentalities and implementation
Having said so many techniques of average slopes, it is true that in the end, the real earner is not the technology, but the mentality and the implementation. Many of them can read the average slope, but they simply cannot share it。
Seeing the average slope down, knowing that the trend has gone bad, and feeling like it's gonna bounce back, the results go deeper; seeing the average slope up, the trend goes better, but it's sold out of panic because of a small swing, and missed the subsequent surge. This is why many people know a lot of stock-sharing techniques, but still do not earn money。
Uncle zhang has been able to make steady profits in the stock market for more than a decade, not only to see the average slope, but also, more importantly, to be extremely effective. He gave himself three irons: the slope was down, the slope was down, the slope was down, and the slope was clear. Over the years, he has strictly followed these three iron rules and has never changed his operations because of emotions or information。
I met a young family member, who learned the average slope method and started off doing well and making a lot of money. However, after encountering a stock, even though the average slope had been reversed downwards, he felt that it was a good fundamental, should rebound and was not sold. As a result, the stock fell all the way from profit to loss, and finally his mind collapsed and he was cut off。
It's like fishing. It takes patience and strength. When trends do not arrive, learn to wait, not to be blindly applied; when trends do come, buy and hold; and when trends are reversed, sell decisively and never fall in love. The mean slope is the pole that will help you judge the trends, and if you hold the pole and wait patiently for the hook, you'll get something in the stock market。
Finally, i'd like to say, "there's no shortcuts. The so-called "ghost" and "secrets" are mostly frauds. A truly reliable approach is often the simplest and the simplest. Even though it is simple, it has the essence of a trend. As long as you remain silent, carefully researched and practiced, you will be able to grasp the methodology and achieve steady profits by making fewer turns in the stock market。
Of course, the stock market has changed dramatically, and there is no way to guarantee 100 per cent income. The mean slope is just a tool to help you improve the success of your operation. In practice, a combination of large-scale environments, industry landscapes and corporate fundamentals is also required。
